Poker Video: No Limit Hold'Em by WiltOnTilt (Micro/Small Stakes)

Mathematics of NL Hold'em: Episode Two

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Mathematics of NL Hold'em: Episode Two by WiltOnTilt

WiltOnTilt follows up last episodeâ€™s introduction to NL Math with a crash-course in pot odds, implied odds, fold equity, and hand combinations. Also, youâ€™ll be presented with the idea of G-Bucks for the first time.

WiltOnTilt will discuss key concepts related to the mathematics of No-Limit play using Powerpoint. Begin with the basics: probability and pot odds. Then follow Wilt to more advanced arenas: implied odds and reverse implied odds, software tools and mental shortcuts for equity calculations, complex EV calculations, and an exploration of fold equity. And watch this series conclude with a discourse on the ultimate in professional poker math: hand frequencies, valuebetting, and G-bucks.

Video Details

• Game:
• Stakes: Micro/Small Stakes
• 49 minutes long
• Posted over 5 years ago

Comments for Mathematics of NL Hold'em: Episode Two

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czzarr

243 posts
Joined 02/2008

so I just got around watching episode 2 after our little chitchat last night on irc as we were railing the 25K HU. Now I don't remember why I ever stopped watching this series after finishing episode 1, and I'm definitely watching all remaining episodes in the next 3 days.
I have a solid mathematical background so thus far what was really interesting for me was the plain English explanation of the concepts and the examples, and I think the way you elaborated on implied odds and fold equity was really great.

SixPackofBud

6 posts
Joined 05/2008

You do a great job of presenting the material so it's easy to follow and understand.

jimike

8 posts
Joined 05/2008

Really enjoying this series.You present it well and the way you explain things is very easy to understand.I'll be watching them all.Well done.

HermanCod

6 posts
Joined 09/2009

2pair with no other info:
isn't that 3x3=9 combos?

wfsfan

1 posts
Joined 11/2009

As a beginner (been playing for 1 month), I would say these videos have improved my game more then any other so far.

Thank you very much for spending the time to make these videos and explaining the math from the ground up.

It's truly changed the way I play NLH!

Thanks Again,
-Ian

DK_Phoenix

1 posts
Joined 01/2010

This series is answering a whole lot of questions I have from watching other videos. Thanks man!

steamer1956

117 posts
Joined 11/2009

Flush draw and overcards example: Great example! I just spent 15minutes trying to work out the best play. I cannot see how we can make a raise that is optimal for us where it would be incorrect for the villain to fold. The closest I could come up with is to raise to \$250 so pot is \$450 and he is folding for \$150 which is wrong but just marginally.

The other advantage I can see here is that the slightly more than minraise might cause him to spaz out and jam which is great or alternatively buy us a free card in the roughly 50% of the times we miss (you have to discount the T because we can't really be happy with that either)

Also this builds the pot so we have a bit over pot left.

Any other thoughts?

steamer1956

117 posts
Joined 11/2009

Just a small point: this example doesn't work out because if you open the CO, BU calls and SB squeezes then yes BB folds but BU is still in the hand, which is why it's a squeeze? ;-)

Found the example useful if I just assumed that we raised and the SB reraised.

BTW I love the series, have watched it once already and Haj school and it is the lessons from that which have made me go through this series again much more involved - making notes and visualising every example - which I recommend to everyone. Spotting mistakes like this may seem like nitpicking but I get so much more from it by really paying attention.

Great job Wilt

steamer1956

117 posts
Joined 11/2009

The example here should be Top two pair eg AK 3x3 = 9 combos not 4.

Two pair 27combos - 3 combos of 9 for any two pair because there are top 2, top and bottom, bottom 2. Some will be more or less likely depending on action and texture. For example on KQJ & AT9 all are quite likely and on K65 bottom 2 is more likely IMO.

Osprey

3 posts
Joined 02/2010

With 6 cards visible and 46 cards unknown, the odds would actually be (46 - 8)/8 or 38/8, which would be 4.75 : 1 exactly. (Just to be completely precise.)

WiltOnTilt

2402 posts
Joined 10/2007

With 6 cards visible and 46 cards unknown, the odds would actually be (46 - 8)/8 or 38/8, which would be 4.75 : 1 exactly. (Just to be completely precise.)

u r right, thanks

there were a cpl errors in this series throughout the vids (unrealistic to expect otherwise i think) but no game-changer mistakes

lux79ita

2 posts
Joined 04/2010

Hi wilt, i was wondering if it is possible to publish the power point you use in the video, it will be very useful to print out and tak notes

Dr. Loiselle

10 posts
Joined 03/2010

Regarding the Hand Combinations chart [43m12sec]

Am I missing something. People are saying that this example is wrong:
Two Pair hand with no other info: ex.AK on AK5 2 aces * 2 kings = 4 combos
but it is not. Right? I am not the smartest man but...

if i have AK in my hand and the board is AK5 doesn't that mean there are only 2 aces and 2 kings left which would be 4 combos and not 9 combos like a few people are saying?

the other example on the chart nobody has said anything about:
Pair + Kicker with no other info: ex. AK on K95 4 aces * 3 Kings = 12 combos is wrong?

should it not be 3 aces * 2 kings = 6 combos

Dr. Loiselle

10 posts
Joined 03/2010

if you want to make your own quasi-powerpoint of this awesome series:

take snapshots of each slide with media player of your choosing.
combine all jpeg's into an adobe pdf document
done

Dr. Loiselle

10 posts
Joined 03/2010

Hi wilt, i was wondering if it is possible to publish the power point you use in the video, it will be very useful to print out and tak notes

if you want to make your own quasi-powerpoint of this awesome series:

take snapshots of each slide with media player of your choosing.
combine all jpeg's into an adobe pdf document
done

chuckd33

43 posts
Joined 04/2010

Hi, I had a question about the 2.2 number, when referring to outs. I'm not really sure where that number came from. If you have seen 5 cards, thats 52-5=47, which would give you 39:8, or 4.8:1. I understand the 2:1 pot odds, but I'm a little unclear of where the 2.2 number came from.

Dr. Loiselle

10 posts
Joined 03/2010

Hi, I had a question about the 2.2 number, when referring to outs. I'm not really sure where that number came from. If you have seen 5 cards, thats 52-5=47, which would give you 39:8, or 4.8:1. I understand the 2:1 pot odds, but I'm a little unclear of where the 2.2 number came from.

The "2.2 number" came from assuming we get to see both the turn and river with 8 outs. In the next slide in the video, WoT explains it's better to calculate based on the odds you'll hit on the next street only, except of course if you go all in, then the 2.2:1 would be correct. So you are correct with the 4.8:1 ratio.

Link to drawing probability excel worksheet:

http://www.filedropper.com/drawingprobabilityexcelworksheet

chuckd33

43 posts
Joined 04/2010

So if that is the case, how would you calculate it. What would be the mathmatical formula to get 2.2.

Dr. Loiselle

10 posts
Joined 03/2010

So if that is the case, how would you calculate it. What would be the mathmatical formula to get 2.2.

probability of drawing from flop to turn, (outs / 47)
probability of drawing from turn to river, (outs / 46)
probability of drawing from flop to river,
P = 1 - (47 - outs / 47) * (46 - outs / 46)

Fortitude

3 posts
Joined 08/2009

why does two pair with no other info have only 4 combos? aren't there 3 aces left in the deck and 3 kings for a total of 9 combos?

thanks

maydayncs

93 posts
Joined 12/2010

WoT I gotta say I didn't think it was possible. I've never been bad at any form of math but always hated lessons and note taking. But in the past 2 hours I've covered my monitor with stickies and notes that will obviously have to be written on paper for me to actually use it in practice. The videos I've seen by you, Balugawhale, and Tubasteve alone make this site worth its fee and I've only just begun climbing lol. Keep up the quality work

WiltOnTilt

2402 posts
Joined 10/2007

WoT I gotta say I didn't think it was possible. I've never been bad at any form of math but always hated lessons and note taking. But in the past 2 hours I've covered my monitor with stickies and notes that will obviously have to be written on paper for me to actually use it in practice. The videos I've seen by you, Balugawhale, and Tubasteve alone make this site worth its fee and I've only just begun climbing lol. Keep up the quality work

Really appreciate the kind words. These math videos were some of the first vids i ever made so i'm glad you're finding them useful

sc24evr

40 posts
Joined 01/2011

why does two pair with no other info have only 4 combos? aren't there 3 aces left in the deck and 3 kings for a total of 9 combos?

thanks

Ya I have the same question, I can't see how its 4 combos.

WiltOnTilt

2402 posts
Joined 10/2007

Ya I have the same question, I can't see how its 4 combos.

Yes, that was a mistake. 9 combos

Estist

1036 posts
Joined 09/2010

Hi Wilt

I'm working my way over this series as well at the moment and have to say that all of the sudden poker is starting to make a whole lot more sense! (hooray) Albeit the eurka moment is only after having you watched explain the same thing for about the sixth time!

Anyways, just wanted to say that I'm really enjoying the series and wanted to ask you if there is any chance that you have any work in excel that we can practice with? Otherwise I'll have to make an attempt to recreate it all from the ground up

Thanks

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