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10NL: high-card equity vs maniacs.


thisfool

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524 posts
Joined 10/2008

Hello. This hand was against a 79/48/6.8 with a 50 hand sample.

Full Tilt Poker $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 587897
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

SB: $18.82
BB: $10.00
UTG: $12.36
MP: $12.85
Hero (CO): $10.42
BTN: $32.83

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is CO with A Diamond Q Heart
UTG raises to $0.35, 1 fold, Hero raises to $1.20, 3 folds, UTG calls $0.85

Flop: ($2.55) 6 Spade 6 Diamond 7 Heart (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $1.30, UTG raises to $4, Hero ???

Is there significance to the facts that he check-raised and used a round number bet? My feeling is that this is an auto-ship most of the time. I would not put him on QQ+ basically ever in this situation given PF action so he's either spewing high cards, rocking an overpair, or value towning with a set. I haven't done a calculation but I think my hand might have been good enough to shove here even though we have zero fold equity.

Thanks for your input!

Posted almost 2 years ago

thisfool

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524 posts
Joined 10/2008

bigsliks

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17 posts
Joined 03/2010

So I put in a range for him, 88-JJ,AKs,AKo, you would have 22% equity, I guess that meens you need to be getting 5-1 on your money to make this the right play.

I think.

Posted almost 2 years ago

Chazb0t

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1841 posts
Joined 01/2009

I would just fold here. Yea he is a maniac, but there isn't really much you are ahead of. He is gana spew his money to you sooner or later I would just wait for a better spot where you know you're getting your money in good.

Posted almost 2 years ago

Riverbandit15

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986 posts
Joined 01/2010

Stats given refer to preflop tendencies. Plus a lot of fishes started to slowplay the top of their ranges pf in the last few months on full tilt(or this might be just my personal observation). Plus maniacs defend with basically any two that looks pretty, so I can easily expect him to show up with a 6/7, any pp here. No need to take these not even thin, but -EV spots if you have a huge skill+card, and usually positional advantage in the majority of the pots you play.

Posted almost 2 years ago




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