Micro Stakes Online NL Poker Forums

I have 5k datamined hands on him:
24/17/steal:31/fold to 3bet:38% / 4bet range: 1.3%/ fold to cbet: 38%/ Raise cbet:8%/ AF Flop:3.2/ AFq: 44/ wts: 30/ w$sd: 49
i think it's enough ; p

Entraction $20.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 587083
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

CO: $26.15
BTN: $21.89
SB: $37.85
Hero (BB): $20.00
UTG: $29.68
MP: $46.60

Pre Flop: ($0.30) Hero is BB with J J
3 folds, BTN raises to $0.70, 1 fold, Hero raises to $2.20, BTN calls $1.50

Flop: ($4.50) 4 2 Q (2 players)
Hero bets $2.60, BTN raises to $7.45, Hero ?

Why he raise me on such dry board? What he can have here? I discard from his range QQ+ (look at 4bet range). 44? 22? AQ? maybe bluffs more often?

Id 3bet bigger pre,
I dont think he is total bluffing the flop much here.
He either has AQ/KQ here or a fd.
There arnt any sets he can have really.

Given he often has two overs to go with his fd It a standard fold here for me.

The main reason for folding is when we are behind at this point our equity in the pot is both terrible and static.
And when were ahead we are still going to lose quite a bit (if he has a bare fd 33% and with two overs & fd over 50% )

Also I dont think we can totally discount AA/KK/QQ slowplayed preflop as villian has position.


its an easy fold.

Thx but what if i have KQ here? This doesn't change much except that I have some blockers, it's still easy fold or not?

If I were villain I would interpret your bet sizing (looking at preflop and flop cbet) to be a bluff. 2.60 into 4.50 on such a dry board looks to me like you just want to take the pot down right there. This is what all the videos teach us--right?

So is villain thinking on this level? Possibly. But I would still fold. A Queen is definitely in his range, as are flush draws, and maybe 22 / 44, and I think our equity just isn't good enough to commit to this pot.