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OTR first to act w/ busted draw

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kuoytfouy

Avatar for kuoytfouy

24 posts
Joined 07/2012

Very few hands on the Villain, seems to be on the tight side.

Party Poker $4 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1846530
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $9.89
SB: $9.88
BB: $4.00
UTG: $4.12
MP: $1.77
Hero (CO): $4.09

Pre Flop: ($0.06) Hero is CO with Q Spade J Spade
UTG calls $0.04, MP calls $0.04, Hero raises to $0.20, BTN calls $0.20, 3 folds, MP calls $0.16

Flop: ($0.70) 6 Heart 9 Heart 2 Spade (3 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $0.40, BTN calls $0.40, MP folds

Turn: ($1.50) K Spade (2 players)
Hero bets $0.84, BTN calls $0.84

River: ($3.18) 7 Club (2 players)

Hero?

Posted 10 months ago

7GramRocks

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64 posts
Joined 07/2012

i'm firing bigger on the turn, and def firing this river.

What do you think the villian's flop and turn ranges are, and how much of that can call a 2.25 river bet?

wait!! is MP already all in?, you should have just jammed the turn.

Posted 10 months ago

kuoytfouy

Avatar for kuoytfouy

24 posts
Joined 07/2012

MP folded on the flop. Why do you say that?

He may have had an overpair to the flop, which he still may think is good assuming the king didn't hit us.
He may have a busted flush draw like us (I don't think a busted heart draw would call the turn though).
He can always have sets.

Here's a plausible (I think) range:
Hands that crush us and won't ever fold: 22, 66, 99 (9 combos)
King pairs that would float the flop and may or may not call on the river: KQ, KJ, KT (30 combos)
Medium pocket pairs which he may or may not fold: TT, JJ (12 combos)
Suited aces (spade or heart) he will fold: A6-AJ (10 combos)
Broadways which were overcards on the flop and picked up draws on the turn and will fold: QJ, QT, JT (33 combos)

This is what may have come thus far I think, excluding what he would certainly 3-bet with preflop (QQ+, AK, AQ). Assuming he will never fold anything but a pair of nines or less, we get about 5:4, certainly good enough to shove.

How does this sound?

Posted 10 months ago

djdoodoo

Avatar for djdoodoo

65 posts
Joined 05/2010

At 4nl i ck/fold. Theyre not folding enough. You need to bluff to win most likely but i see him making a bad call most of the time that beats you. Higher limits you will have to start triple barrelling but for now I prefer c/f because its quite spewy losing rest of atack given better opportunities at this lvl. This is villain dependent.

Posted 10 months ago

7GramRocks

Avatar for 7GramRocks

64 posts
Joined 07/2012

MP folded on the flop. Why do you say that?



im having an amazingly hard time reading these HHs for some reason.

Posted 10 months ago

7GramRocks

Avatar for 7GramRocks

64 posts
Joined 07/2012

he can't have sets b/c of the board. When someone has a set and there's 600 draws possible on the turn, they would raise.

his range looks weighted towards XXhh, str8 draws, 9x, 2 overs that made a spade draw and some Kx that floated and hit.

only Kx is likely to call.

Posted 10 months ago




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