nut flush on paired board
6 posts, 5 voices
- drsmooth
- Pair of Deuces
-
190 posts
Joined 07/08
Villain is a nit. 12/5/5. No other reads.
Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
SB: $24.75
BB: $42.10
UTG: $17.95
MP: $24.95
CO: $33.85
Hero (BTN): $24.90
Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN with A 
7
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.70, 1 fold, BB calls $0.45
Flop: ($1.50) 2 9 9 
(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1, BB calls $1
Turn: ($3.50) 8 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2.50, BB raises to $5, Hero calls $2.50
River: ($13.50) K (2 players)
BB bets $34.75
- WhiteHeatSYD
- Deuces Full
-
516 posts
Joined 09/07
Over how many hands is your sample? I can’t see much that he calls with such a tight range. It could be exactly 88 or 22, which sucks if it is. You need to careful using his aggression factor as his range is so tight pf, that he is going to be in good shape post flop which will distort this. His river bet looks like he wants a call, and has got tricky. But I think that a worst flush is more likely than a Fullhouse imo. It is a difficult spot, but you only need to be good 25% of the time to turn a profit.
- greenzulu
- Deuce High
-
19 posts
Joined 08/08
he overbet shoves the river Syd:
BB bets $34.75
Gross spot, not the worst place to fold.
From the coaching tree vid:
Baluga Whale:
People are not bluffing as much as you think they are
-when there is someone who is going to bluff you will know
hard to imagine him making this move without a FH unless it is something that he is capable of.
- gring000h
- Deuces Full
-
677 posts
Joined 03/08
as played, river looks like a fold
- tubasteve
- Quad Deuces
-
2063 posts
Joined 11/07
also from a future coaching tree episode: "people are generally incapable of overbet bluffing on the river"
spoiler!
- drsmooth
- Pair of Deuces
-
190 posts
Joined 07/08
That is the conclusion I came to after the hand. I snap called and got show a full house. A little later I found myself in a similar situation.
Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
MP: $74.15
CO: $26.55
Hero (BTN): $25.95
SB: $27.65
BB: $41.45
UTG: $15.15
Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN with A 6
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.70, SB calls $0.60, 1 fold
Flop: ($1.65) 2 8 7 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1.25, SB raises to $3.50, Hero calls $2.25
Turn: ($8.65) J (2 players)
SB bets $7.75, Hero calls $7.75
River: ($24.15) 7 
(2 players)
SB bets $14.25, Hero calls $14 all in
Final Pot: $52.15
Hero shows A 6 (a flush, Ace high)
SB shows J A (two pair, Jacks and Sevens)
Hero wins $49.60
(Rake: $2.55)
This time I got shown TPTK and I take it down. This play was quite passive also.
Maybe we're making assumptions about what certain players actually consider a bluff? Maybe in the first hand a lot of people would think that overbetting a flush could e for value reasoning trips might call? But not this particular player, obviously. So do you all think thi is a standard fold or more read dependent?