QdJd flop straight fd against fish
Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
Hero (CO): $61.15
BTN: $123.80
SB: $71.05
BB: $55.65
UTG: $8.25
MP: $53.50
Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is CO with Q
J
UTG calls $0.50, 1 fold, Hero raises to $2.25, BTN calls $2.25, 3 folds
Flop: ($5.75) 9
2
T
(2 players)
Hero bets $3.75, BTN raises to $7.50, Hero raises to $20, BTN calls $12.50
Turn: ($45.75) A
(2 players)
Hero bets $38.90 all in
Villain is extremely loose fish. 87/9/2 over 100 hands. Villain's fold to cb was only 38%, so he's peeling flop with pretty much anything. Villain also didn't fold a lot of turn bets, though I didn't double barrel him often. Wasn't sure how much fold equity I had against villain on the turn shove.
meh, personally i tend to just flat his raise on the flop and see a turn more cheaply, as if he's got something to raise you on the flop being this passive he's likely to call your 3-bet. As played I think shoving is fine. You could also make a case for stacking off on the flop as he's likely not playing a draw this way.
Even against sets by shoving the flop (55 into 17) you're leaving him about 2:1 on a call which is what you may be up against if you figure in 2pair type hands as well, leaving this very marginally -EV. Just something to think about.
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
9,900 games 0.005 secs 1,980,000 games/sec
Board: 9d 2h Td
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 54.697% 54.70% 00.00% 5415 0.00 { TcTh, TcTs, ThTs, 9c9h, 9c9s, 9h9s, 2c2h, 2c2s, 2h2s, Tc9c, Th9h, Ts9s }
Hand 1: 45.303% 45.30% 00.00% 4485 0.00 { QdJd }
He's also likely to raise 99's and TT's preflop, so if you figure those out, and you also have blocking outs so he can't have KdQd, leaving AdKd left to take a lot of your equity, which he is also likely to raise pre, you equity goes up even more. And let's just throw in some TP+backdoor draw like ATo or KTo and some drawing hands.
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
14,850 games 0.005 secs 2,970,000 games/sec
Board: 9d 2h Td
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 37.771% 37.77% 00.00% 5609 0.00 { 2c2h, 2c2s, 2h2s, AdKd, Tc9c, Th9h, Ts9s, 87s, AdTc, AdTh, AdTs, KdTc, KdTh, KdTs }
Hand 1: 62.229% 62.23% 00.00% 9241 0.00 { QdJd }
I just call his flop bet. Villain is never folding on flop with his stats so raising is -EV imo. I was just wondering what people think of calling a turn bet if we brick? I was thinking that we call any reasonably sized bet on the turn.
Flatting makes the pot 20.75. Say the turn is a brick as played. We have 10 invested and 50 behind. If we bet smallish say 12, and he calls, we still have a ton of equity. check/calling looks too weak and if we hit we may not get paid. If we wait to shove on a blank river the pot is similar to above, leaving us 39 into a pot of 45, giving villain about 2:1, so he has to fold more than half the time here, and considering the previous action and villain, I'm not so confident he does.
If he bet on the turn, villain seems to be raising a significant portion of the time. I don't think villain is going to slow down even with the A hitting.
I do not think we have odds to call also if he does shove turn
This is perfectly fine.
On this flop we are a favorite against his range we want him to call. But I'd like to shove it here on the flop even though it's an over bet. we know that there are two things happenning :
1 - He folds. So our bet size doesn't really matter.
2 - He calls. In this case we know that we are stacking off anyways.
So you just shove and put him to a decision for all his stack. If we had a made hand ourselves I could see raising small being a better option and that because he might think he can bluff us off our hand.
As played, there isn't much you can do on the turn but shove.
your flop reraise is way too small, you don't mind getting called here in theory, bc you have a ton of equity, but when he calls and the turn blanks and you are left in a spot just like this one its an awkward, so raise more on the flop so that stacks get in. (or if he flats it at least makes shoving the turn easier)
as played, I would def jam the turn, this is a good card for you as he may fold things like Tx which you want him to fold at this point
I like how you played this were getting in here regardles. I would bet stronger on the flop like manchild said but the rest is fine.
