Am I firing a 3rd barrel here? Anyone?

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Joliq
Pair of Deuces
167 posts
Joined 01/08

Cryptologic £0.10/£0.20 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

BB: £12.50
Hero (UTG): £23.95 LAG/TAG
CO: £24.79 Villain is 26/9/1.6 > 260 hands, like 50% fold to cbet, 27% WSD
BTN: £19.88
SB: £10.53

Pre Flop: (£0.30) Hero is UTG with Q A
Hero raises to £0.80, CO calls £0.80, 3 folds

I raise for value, fairly self explanatory, when he calls, I'm thinking he can have pairs 22-TT, broadway combos, prolly not AK though (he's not a total nit about 3betting but doesn't do it with like sc's or anything, SC's, some Axs, and maybe some other junk.

Flop: (£1.90) T 5 T (2 players)
Hero bets £1.20, CO calls £1.20

This is a relatively hard board for him to connect with, like a few of his sc's,axs can have a 5, maybe a T but 2 of them are gone, most of his broadway combos miss, and a lot of the time he has unpaired sc's, axs, or overs. I fire a cbet here because he misses a lot on this board, I think he can call with like an ace, or an underpair sometimes, but that's not terrible since I've got 2 overs and I can probably fire like any overcard turn planning to get him off his weak pairs etc. I bet small here because I don't think his calling range changes with betsize unless it's very small or an overbet, and I'm bluffing, and he's not attentive enough to exploit me doing this.

Turn: (£4.30) K (2 players)
Hero bets £3, CO calls £3

I follow my plan and bet the overcard turn, planning to get him off like marginal 1 pair hands here. Maybe requires a river barrel? I thought I could get him to fold like 5x, 66 here, maybe 77 but prolly much less so. Basically I'm firing here to get him off some marginal 1 pair hands. Also sometimes when I check he's firing overs here and making me fold the best hand etc. if I check.


River: (£10.30) 6 (2 players)
[color=red]Hero ??

Should I fire here? Like it's difficult to put him on a T, since there's only 2 left, and I'd have expected a raise at some point to try and get the money in. I guess he can have floated the flop with overs and hit the K, or have a hand like 77, 88, 99 here. If I bet here, I guess he could maybe fold like some of those MP type hands, he won't fold a K if he actually hit on the turn though, and it is tough to put him on a T. So does anyone like firing here or is this where I check and give up? If I were to fire what betsize do people like and why? FWIW I'm thinking the answer is probably no, since I don't know how he's going to react with like 99 here, but curious what others think.

Posted Sep 7, 2008 1:17am

ybother
Deuce High
54 posts
Joined 01/08

That flop call really looks like he's peeling with a pocket pair type hand since as you noticed its a hard board to hit. After he calls the turn the only thing you can fold out with a 3rd barrel is a missed flush draw which he probably checks with on the river so betting is seems pointless

Posted Sep 7, 2008 2:22am

Justice88
Pair of Deuces
153 posts
Joined 03/08

You have blockers to KQ and AK so floating flop with KJ, KT, AJ with a 50% fold to c-bet may be unlikely. It looks like a smallish pair as you're mentioned, however if he's calling the turn, which if he's a thinking player may anticipate a barrel on this card often, he's prob not folding on the river. I would give it up. But I do like the turn barrel fwiw.

Posted Sep 7, 2008 7:29am

winztonchan
Deuce High
75 posts
Joined 01/08

Give up after the turn. If he calls the turn bet he isn't folding the river bet with a blank.

Posted Sep 7, 2008 7:36am

tamere10
Set of Deuces
284 posts
Joined 07/08

NO!

Posted Sep 8, 2008 2:19am