Am I firing a 3rd barrel here? Anyone?
Cryptologic £0.10/£0.20 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
BB: £12.50
Hero (UTG): £23.95 LAG/TAG
CO: £24.79 Villain is 26/9/1.6 > 260 hands, like 50% fold to cbet, 27% WSD
BTN: £19.88
SB: £10.53
Pre Flop: (£0.30) Hero is UTG with Q
A
Hero raises to £0.80, CO calls £0.80, 3 folds
I raise for value, fairly self explanatory, when he calls, I'm thinking he can have pairs 22-TT, broadway combos, prolly not AK though (he's not a total nit about 3betting but doesn't do it with like sc's or anything, SC's, some Axs, and maybe some other junk.
Flop: (£1.90) T
5
T
(2 players)
Hero bets £1.20, CO calls £1.20
This is a relatively hard board for him to connect with, like a few of his sc's,axs can have a 5, maybe a T but 2 of them are gone, most of his broadway combos miss, and a lot of the time he has unpaired sc's, axs, or overs. I fire a cbet here because he misses a lot on this board, I think he can call with like an ace, or an underpair sometimes, but that's not terrible since I've got 2 overs and I can probably fire like any overcard turn planning to get him off his weak pairs etc. I bet small here because I don't think his calling range changes with betsize unless it's very small or an overbet, and I'm bluffing, and he's not attentive enough to exploit me doing this.
Turn: (£4.30) K
(2 players)
Hero bets £3, CO calls £3
I follow my plan and bet the overcard turn, planning to get him off like marginal 1 pair hands here. Maybe requires a river barrel? I thought I could get him to fold like 5x, 66 here, maybe 77 but prolly much less so. Basically I'm firing here to get him off some marginal 1 pair hands. Also sometimes when I check he's firing overs here and making me fold the best hand etc. if I check.
River: (£10.30) 6
(2 players)
[color=red]Hero ??
Should I fire here? Like it's difficult to put him on a T, since there's only 2 left, and I'd have expected a raise at some point to try and get the money in. I guess he can have floated the flop with overs and hit the K, or have a hand like 77, 88, 99 here. If I bet here, I guess he could maybe fold like some of those MP type hands, he won't fold a K if he actually hit on the turn though, and it is tough to put him on a T. So does anyone like firing here or is this where I check and give up? If I were to fire what betsize do people like and why? FWIW I'm thinking the answer is probably no, since I don't know how he's going to react with like 99 here, but curious what others think.
That flop call really looks like he's peeling with a pocket pair type hand since as you noticed its a hard board to hit. After he calls the turn the only thing you can fold out with a 3rd barrel is a missed flush draw which he probably checks with on the river so betting is seems pointless
You have blockers to KQ and AK so floating flop with KJ, KT, AJ with a 50% fold to c-bet may be unlikely. It looks like a smallish pair as you're mentioned, however if he's calling the turn, which if he's a thinking player may anticipate a barrel on this card often, he's prob not folding on the river. I would give it up. But I do like the turn barrel fwiw.
Give up after the turn. If he calls the turn bet he isn't folding the river bet with a blank.
