Villain is 40/18/3 over 680 hands

His range here is prob 33-88, and maybe 2 overs.

Play this the same way? Any thoughts?


Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

CO: $62.50
BTN: $49.45
SB: $48.75
BB: $51.85
Hero (UTG): $50.00
MP: $50.75

Pre Flop: ($1.00) Hero is UTG with Q A
Hero raises to $2.50, MP calls $2.50, CO calls $2.25, 3 folds

Flop: ($8.25) 9 2 2 (3 players)
Hero bets $6, MP folds, CO calls $6

Turn: ($20.25) 8 (2 players)
Hero bets $16, CO folds

Final Pot: $20.25
Hero wins $19.50
(Rake: $0.75)

Yeah, I like barreling here with the added outs you pick up and I think your bet size is good. He can have a ton of over cards and a lot of weak 9's here along with PP's.

We have just 26% equity against the following raising range on the turn:
88-QQ, 22, A9s, A2s, K9s, T9s, 98s, A9o, A2o, K9o, T9o, 98o

But we need 30% for the call to be break even! So I think a Turnbet with that bet size is suboptimal. I think we should bet more on the Flop and a little bit more on Turn so that we can play bet/call on turn with the same fold equity. Thats why i dislike our play in that example. Are there any objections to my conclusion??

I think we can save some BB's with your turn bet no need to be super strong i think anything over 10 will do the job personally id do 12.5 dunno Y just my thinking. Good spot for it though.!

10 is too small, you want him to fold hands like 66 and 77 and he may peel again for 10$, betting 15ish is good imo