ThierryHenry
1105 posts
Joined 12/2007
PanicIwould
646 posts
Joined 08/2010
I would just call.
You could also go for a bet/fold. I think if we raise and he 3bets its a clear fold. Villian is so passive that he has the nuts when he puts in a raise here. Although over 28 hands the stats dont mean that much.
Posted over 2 years ago
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mikefut
2135 posts
Joined 03/2008
I'd say I raise here as a default, and call a 3bet since this guy could easily play a AQ or a random spaz bluff trying to rep a flush like this. I think folding to a 3b is a pretty big mistake getting 11-1 based on 20 hands of postflop play. We know little about how he plays flops, very little about how he plays turns, and practically nothing at all about how he plays rivers.
Posted over 2 years ago
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BigBadBabar
4439 posts
Joined 03/2007
I'd say I raise here as a default, and call a 3bet since this guy could easily play a AQ or a random spaz bluff trying to rep a flush like this. I think folding to a 3b is a pretty big mistake getting 11-1 based on 20 hands of postflop play. We know little about how he plays flops, very little about how he plays turns, and practically nothing at all about how he plays rivers.
I think putting 3 bets in here would be super spew. And I don't want to raise/fold since we have an overpair vs a bad unknown player. So I feel like that just leaves calling.
Posted over 2 years ago
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mikefut
2135 posts
Joined 03/2008
Interesting spot - my sample size isn't big enough, but I just filtered for x/c x/c donk lines from villains in headsup pots and am seeing a healthy mix of flopped TP hands, a few flopped BP/MP type hands and rivered 2p+ hands, with one or two B/F's from villain (missed draw imo). As such, I'm really not willing to put villain on 2p+ only. I am willing to agree that we are never happy when we get 3b.
I think I agree with a call now as a default, but I think we have to call the 3b if we do raise. If the flop were 2J6 and river was a Q, I think we have a clear raise/call though.
Posted over 2 years ago
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BigBadBabar
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casaubon
1426 posts
Joined 04/2008
Yeah I'm not saying we're always behind by any means - just that our raise opens up the possibility of a villain 3bet and then the villain is crushing us.
But if you're confident in knowing that (and I would be against a 70/0), then raise/fold is clearly the line, it's just that you don't want to fold kings vs a fish.
Attachment issues itt!
Posted over 2 years ago
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PanicIwould
646 posts
Joined 08/2010
I think a call or bet/fold are both okay here. Knowing myself though, I would err more on the side of caution and just call. Might be losing some thin value against a fish but he could also have us crushed here with ATC.
Posted over 2 years ago
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bellatrix
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TerrorBlade
381 posts
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Hood
1088 posts
Joined 08/2008
Yeah I'm not saying we're always behind by any means - just that our raise opens up the possibility of a villain 3bet and then the villain is crushing us.
Ok so what's the bottom of your river raising range?
Posted over 2 years ago
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BigBadBabar
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CH74
368 posts
Joined 01/2010
I would probably raise because I see these types of players donk rivers when they really do not know what to do and are sometimes pressing check or bet almost randomly.
I am expecting to see some type of a pair that he bets thinking you might check behind. And also expecting some sort of A2 or even ace high that he doesn't know whether to bluff with or call or whatever. The thing is when he bets these weak/marginal/decent holdings he still can't release his hand because bet-fold is an unfamiliar concept for him.
That being said he does recognize the 3-flush on the board and if he still 3-bets I snap fold.
Posted over 2 years ago
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CH74
368 posts
Joined 01/2010
Here is a very typical example of the play I explained in the previous post and why I like to raise the kings, too.
The guy is similarly 74/2/0.3
These guys donk left and right and call raises.
Sometimes they triple donk: donk every street and call a raise.
Missing tons of value if we are too passive on rivers.
Poker Stars $1/$2 Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1117306
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter
Pre Flop: (1.5 SB) Hero is MP with 7
7
1 fold, Hero raises, 2 folds, SB calls, BB 3-bets, Hero calls, SB calls
Flop: (9 SB) 8
9
6
(3 players)
SB bets, BB calls, Hero calls
Turn: (6 BB) T
(3 players)
SB bets, BB folds, Hero raises, SB calls
River: (10 BB) 6
(2 players)
SB bets, Hero raises, SB calls
Final Pot: 14 BB
SB mucks 4
9
Hero shows 7
7
(a straight, Six to Ten)
Hero wins 13.5 BB
(Rake: $1.00)
Posted over 2 years ago
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eskiboy
51 posts
Joined 10/2009
I would probably raise because I see these types of players donk rivers when they really do not know what to do and are sometimes pressing check or bet almost randomly.
I know what you are saying, but don't you agree that until you gathered that read, flat calling is better? Not all 70something/0 do play the river the same.
The upside of just calling is also that you get to see his hand.
Posted over 2 years ago
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