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turn 2nd pair into a bluff?


PygmyHero

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4276 posts
Joined 08/2007

10/20 Borgata 10 handed

Hero is BB with KSpade 4Club

Preflop: 7 folds, BTN limps, SB completes, Hero checks his option

Reads: BTN is bad.

Flop (3 SB): ASpade KClub 3Spade (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets, BTN raises, SB folds, Hero calls

Reads: BTN has an ace here pretty much 100% of the time.

Turn (3.5 BB): QSpade (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

River (3.5 BB): JDiamond (2 players)
Hero...

Posted over 2 years ago

estornudo

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I already mentioned this to you, but I just don't think he folds an ace. Once he raises the flop and checks back the turn, he's fairly showdown bound. That being said, there are definitely live players I would fire at here since I think some are capable of folding Ax, but I usually avoid that without a specific read.

Posted over 2 years ago

OnTheRail15

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HLS2k6

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This will work every time you have the best hand. Except you never have the best hand here. Also, move up.

Posted over 2 years ago

Donderdag

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Wauw, I havent played live and I havent played alot of FR, but I want to be more active on this forum so here we go:

I would just check the flop, and go from there. But it is a tricky spot with no players who have the initiative, and no one is supposed to have hit that flop.

Posted over 2 years ago

DeathDonkey

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I'd never bet this flop, what is the purpose of the bet?

Posted over 2 years ago

obadonke

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I'd never bet this flop, what is the purpose of the bet?



Please answer this one pygmyhero.

I thought perhaps you were protecting your hand but then i suppose the bet gives flush draws the right price to call, pushes out weaker hands and (obv) leaves you open to a raise Smile

Posted over 2 years ago

Bigvee

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999 posts
Joined 10/2008

He does have second pair, against weak live players, this is a value bet. After the raise you are correct he has an A 110% of the time. Id probably muck there.....

As played once we get to the river its a check.. hes not gonna fold now imo.

Posted over 2 years ago

PygmyHero

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I'd never bet this flop, what is the purpose of the bet?


BTN peels loosely so I think I actually have value. Also he will respond honestly to my bet and I can play the hand accordingly. Would you favor a x/c?

Posted over 2 years ago

PygmyHero

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4276 posts
Joined 08/2007

Please answer this one pygmyhero.

I thought perhaps you were protecting your hand but then i suppose the bet gives flush draws the right price to call, pushes out weaker hands and (obv) leaves you open to a raise Smile


obadonke, my bet might not be correct, but there are a few flaws with your logic.

First of all the fact that flush draws have odds to call when I bet is NOT a reason to not bet. They have the right price if I check as well (in that case they are getting infinite pot odds).

Also, when we bet there is always the possibility that we get raised. Why does that matter in THIS case?

Posted over 2 years ago

DeathDonkey

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BTN peels loosely so I think I actually have value. Also he will respond honestly to my bet and I can play the hand accordingly. Would you favor a x/c?



Yeah my standard would be to c/c since most times the button will bet a high card board vs two blinds. I suppose if he is peeling quite light its fine but really, its AKx, he doesn't have that many loose peels I would think.

Posted over 2 years ago

PygmyHero

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Yeah my standard would be to c/c since most times the button will bet a high card board vs two blinds. I suppose if he is peeling quite light its fine but really, its AKx, he doesn't have that many loose peels I would think.


Okay, just wanted to make sure you weren't advocating folding. Smile I know what you're saying and your comment on the board texture is dead on. That said, I definitely think THIS individual will peel once with a lot of two card combos between the K and the x (so stuff like T9o, Q8o, etc). I should have probably tried to mention this a bit in mp OP but it's hard to balance that against giving away what I think the 'answer' is.

Posted over 2 years ago

obadonke

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obadonke, my bet might not be correct, but there are a few flaws with your logic.

First of all the fact that flush draws have odds to call when I bet is NOT a reason to not bet. They have the right price if I check as well (in that case they are getting infinite pot odds).

Also, when we bet there is always the possibility that we get raised. Why does that matter in THIS case?



I am putting as much effort into my posts as I am into my a-game at the moment i.e. not enough.

wrt the raise I neglected to say "potentially bluff raised off the hand".

Anyhoo, the only bit I wanted to say was "please answer this one" (which you did Smile ) . The rest was filling. mindless banter to be fair Frown

Posted over 2 years ago

PygmyHero

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Hey, I'm not trying to criticize. I'm just trying to point out some stuff that I disagree with. Here's an old Ed Miller post that may help you understand the flush draw situation a bit more.

Posted over 2 years ago

obadonke

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Hey, I'm not trying to criticize. I'm just trying to point out some stuff that I disagree with. Here's an old Ed Miller post that may help you understand the flush draw situation a bit more.



Ok, thanks Pygmy. I was feeling a bit low yesterday.

Awesome link. OMG. I cant remember the title but I must have swallowed that "popular book on low-limit hold 'em of suspect quality" because I thought charging draws was accepted wisdom! I've even recently started to donk bet weak pairs on drawy boards.

Ooooooooooopppppsssss.

Posted over 2 years ago




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