Beginner Limit Hold'em Poker Forums

10/20 live Borgata 10 handed

Hero is BB with J 8

Preflop: UTG limps, 1 fold, EP raises, 3 cold calls/2 folds by IP players, SB folds, Hero calls, UTG calls

Flop (12 SB): K 8 3 (6 players)
UTG checks, EP checks, 2 LP cold callers check, BTN bets, Hero...

Reads: The EP preflop raiser has AQ here like 100%. The BTN has already shown a tendency to bet when checked to with any two cards.

Hero check/raises, everyone in between folds, BTN calls

Turn (8 BB): 7 (2 players)
Hero bets, BTN calls

River (10 BB): 2 (2 players)
Hero thinks he can check/fold pretty confidently. While BTN can make some odd bets on the flop he has shown no ability to bluff in this or other similar situations (or the river at all).

Thoughts?

Let me take a shot at this since I'll be up there soon, I guess my first question is will he bet a hand for value that you beat on the river? i.e. 78/66

Without knowing that I'd probably just c/f, I can't really see what he is going to pay us off with

I don't even think he can bet Kx all the time, so I certainly think he can't be worse than my hand. I don't want to use the p word since internet guys might misunderstand (the truth is when he bets he's probably uni-polarized).