Full Tilt Poker $1/$2 Limit Hold'em - 8 players - View hand 600944
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Pre Flop: (1.5 SB) Hero is UTG with K
J
Hero raises, 1 fold, MP1 calls, 2 folds, BTN 3-bets, 2 folds, Hero calls, MP1 calls
Flop: (10.5 SB) T
6
3
(3 players)
Hero checks, MP1 checks, BTN bets, Hero calls, MP1 calls
Turn: (6.75 BB) K
(3 players)
Hero checks, MP1 checks, BTN bets, Hero raises, MP1 folds, BTN calls
River: (10.75 BB) 2
(2 players)
[color=red]Hero ?
Hey guys I've been watching lots of the vids on LHE here and would be interested in your thoughts on this hand. This hand isn't terribly exciting but I feel like it's a frequent type situation that I'm confused about and consequently some other people are probably also be unclear about the best line here. So here it is.
Reads: Button stats are 17/12/7.0 (vpip/pfr/3bet), AF 1.6, 51/47 WTSD/W$SD. A regular grinder at this game, a bit nitty/weak/passive and plays fairly straightforwardly not too creative or fancy. I checked my DB and I was up 50BB on him over our 1800 hands.
MP is 17/12/6.6, AF 3.1, 19/71 WTSD/W$SD (wow) over 597 hands. Don't have a read on him besides those stats.
Here are my thoughts on the hand. Preflop KJo I'm raising UTG 8-handed often depending on table conditions. If there are some decent LAGy players behind who will frequently punish me with 3bets I might fold this more often, but this table is pretty tight PF and also the BB seems bad so I wouldn't hate playing HU in position with him. Is this reasonable? I'm sure I'm still making preflop mistakes but not sure if this is one.
Flop. I'm getting 11.5 to 1, sure my 6 outs are probably tainted but I still have correct price with a discounted 3.5ish outs not counting implied odds. Perhaps even 3.5ish outs is optimistic against these 2 players. Anyone think this peel is too loose?
Turn. I hit my K and I guess my default line here is probably to C/R the button but not sure if it's correct. If MP donks and button raises I think I can let my hand go. I didn't notice MPs crazy nitty showdown stats at the time since I was 5-tabling but that would make folding to a donk/raise easier. If MP donks and button calls that may be a fold as well but closer. I figure by C/R the button I can force out MP easier and increase my equity. Is this correct or would I rather C/C and let MP peel turn with something like AQ? If it checks through, I'm betting out all non-A rivers. When button calls my C/R I don't like my hand much anymore because I'm pretty sure I remember him frequently folding when I C/R the turn. He's definitely 3betting KK and almost definitely 3betting TT so I'm putting him on a better K often i.e. AK or KQ maybe sometimes on QQ JJ although honestly I think this player may even fold with that.
River. Given my read on button, in retrospect I think a C/C line is probably best at this point, although at the time I bet out the river. Are you calling a raise? Do you think C/C is best here?
