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joel

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136 posts
Joined 02/2011

what if you get sucked out twice?


Then you do. And you lose the exact same amount as you would have running it once and getting sucked out on. The point is, you're considerably less likely to get sucked out on twice than you are to get sucked out on once, so variance is reduced.

Posted about 1 year ago

nawhead

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2484 posts
Joined 10/2009

i think we can affect EV by running it once or twice. if we steam after getting sucked out on, running it twice when ahead will benefit us. otoh, when behind, running it once can benefit us since we have more opportunities to tilt our opponents.

Posted about 1 year ago

NixonTheGrouch

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Section 9
1155 posts
Joined 11/2008

Then you do. And you lose the exact same amount as you would have running it once and getting sucked out on. The point is, you're considerably less likely to get sucked out on twice than you are to get sucked out on once, so variance is reduced.


Not only that, it uses up a little more of your runbad.

Posted about 1 year ago

Sinthoras1

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297 posts
Joined 05/2011

i think we can affect EV by running it once or twice. .


Obviously we effect our EV by paying 1$ more in rake Wink

Posted about 1 year ago

mitch

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2007 posts
Joined 01/2008

Obviously we effect our EV by paying 1$ more in rake Wink



Stars said if they ever implement running it twice they won't have a rake increase.

Posted about 1 year ago

huntse

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1432 posts
Joined 11/2010

i think we can affect EV by running it once or twice. if we steam after getting sucked out on, running it twice when ahead will benefit us. otoh, when behind, running it once can benefit us since we have more opportunities to tilt our opponents.



This is (apparently) why Barry Greenstein never runs it twice. Sorry to have caused this massive derail btw. Hope the US players get their money back.

Posted about 1 year ago

CF23

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844 posts
Joined 10/2008

haha, stop it guys!
every time there's a new post here i'm hoping for new news, but it's all about running it twice... araaargh Smile

Posted about 1 year ago

PrinzVonHapunkt

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1198 posts
Joined 12/2010

I wonder what would've happened if we ran this deal twice

Posted about 1 year ago

nervy

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237 posts
Joined 03/2010

I wonder what would've happened if we ran this deal twice


Sell half to Stars and half to Tapie?

Posted about 1 year ago

urb

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409 posts
Joined 08/2011

I don't see any reason to be afraid of PS purchasing FTP. If they get 3/4 of the market through being the best and most reliable site - good for them and let it be a lesson to competition.
And rake? It's already quite high and given the games are getting tougher I don't see how could they possibly increase it further. From their perspective, who is the best customer? Micro-stakes 80/10 fish? Winning high stakes players? No. The former brings money to the system the latter take it away. But it is 20 tabling small stakes breaking-even regular who takes money from the fish and dumps it in rake to the site. And they are the ones who would be first to die out if the rake was raised. Most of them are still playing only because of VIP programs and rakeback anyway.
Also being monopoly in online poker is not sth you can so easily maintain. If you raise the rake to high you will see people changing sites within hours.

Posted about 1 year ago

huntse

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1432 posts
Joined 11/2010

I wonder what would've happened if we ran this deal twice



We sort of did run this deal twice no? The first time we bricked. Let's hope we get there on this one.

Posted about 1 year ago

Steppin Razor

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Section 9
2237 posts
Joined 12/2009

I just hope it doesn't drag out like the GBT deal did.

Posted about 1 year ago

BaseMetal

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2051 posts
Joined 01/2010

chuck651

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1342 posts
Joined 11/2010

WiltOnTilt

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2404 posts
Joined 10/2007

% chance of Stars buying Cereus?



bond 18 tweeted something about this... i hope they do but i am not holding my breath... i'm really hoping that stars has this master plan to buy both software systems and then license them to vegas casinos for usa regulation.

...and then i woke up Smile

Posted about 1 year ago




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