Small Stakes Shorthanded NL Poker Forums

Appreciate some thoughts on range our equity on the river please. Don't have any dynamic with my opponent. His stats are fairly TAG over a limited sample.

Poker Stars $100.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1851583
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $100.41 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 19, 3B: 10, AF: 4.5, Hands: 203
SB: $127.25 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 18, 3B: 6, AF: 15.0, Hands: 102
BB: $104.71 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 20, 3B: 4, AF: 0.0, Hands: 84
Hero (UTG): $119.02 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 16, 3B: 8, AF: 2.4, Hands: 1925
MP: $47.35 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 18, 3B: 4, AF: 4.0, Hands: 76
CO: $98.20 - VPIP: 55, PFR: 3, 3B: 0, AF: 1.5, Hands: 62

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is UTG with Q K
Hero raises to $4, 1 fold, CO calls $4, 1 fold, SB calls $3.50, 1 fold

Flop: ($13.00) 3 8 Q (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $7.00, CO folds, SB calls $7

Turn: ($27.00) 9 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($27.00) 5 (2 players)
SB bets $15.00, Hero.....

Flop
Why did you bet so small? I'd make it $8.50-$10.

Turn
Here it's gonna be harder to get value. Worse hands are QJs/QTs, whereas he could have all AQs/AQo combos + sets. I think checking behind is better, unless you know he x/c super loose.

River
Call, I am sure you have enough equity vs his range, especially after taking a bluff inducing line.

prob a call..not to happy about it...but it gives me info on how villain gonna play parts of his range here

If hes floating flops light OOP... his SB calling range from a EP raise..and what hes gonna take this line with...

And as said above we do take a line where villain could have a bluff if hes floating light, just not sure if hes turning a made hand into a bluff here or Ax

There are more than enough bluffs and worse hands betting for value (QJ, QT, JJ, TT) for you to insta-call with those odds. Actually it's more likely he is thin-value-betting worse than bluffing on such a dry board.
If you had AQ or KK you could even consider a small raise for value.

what is up with your flop sizing and turn check?

^^ are u suggesting that we can get 3 streets of value or that its just better to bet turn rather then river if we are going for 2, tbh given we are UTG i dont expect to get looked up by worse if we bet turn and river

agree that three is tough with this hand/board, but i think two streets will work.

agree that three is tough with this hand/board, but i think two streets will work.

sure, but sometimes it's good to go for flop+river instead of flop+turn, because often villain is planning to pay off 2 but will fold on the turn, afraid that 3rd one is coming.

that's certainly possible. it's important to know the showdown tendencies of your opponent, and it sounds like you are thinking about them carefully.