Villain is 28/27 in almost 3k hands, 4 AF, 15% 4bet, F to 3b 54% f cbet 3b pot 48. We have an aggressive dynamic/history, 3betting/4betting each other a lot - I stopped bluff 4betting him pretty much because he started to shove a lot.
He is calling a lot of my 3bets though, I expect he can't have sets except for 44 as he'd try to get it in with 99+, expect him to call with SCs, all broadways (offsuit too) Axs (some will 4bet), small pairs, AXo too (called a 3bet with A9o oop once)
Post flop he's been generally straight-forward, his raise cbet is really low - 6%, which makes me want to fold. I do however have a note that he cbet/shoved over my raise with 2nd pair top kicker (KJ) on AJx in a 3bet pot, I guess he could have been tilted too. This makes me want to call.
JT and KQ are definitely in his range for getting to the turn, can I count on him playing them this way with a high enough frequency and get it in? The rest of his range as I see it is 44, all 2 pairs that don't include the 4, KTo, KTs, T8s. I'd love to include some Axs redraws as well but seems like a stretch considering his low raise %.
Hero (BTN): €117.36
SB posts SB €0.50, BB posts BB €1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: €1.50) Hero has Q A
fold, CO raises to €2.87, Hero raises to €8.30, fold, fold, CO calls €5.43
Flop: (€18.10, 2 players) 9 Q 4
CO checks, Hero bets €13.00, CO calls €13.00
Turn: (€44.10, 2 players) J
CO checks, Hero bets €23.00, CO raises to €95.31 and is all-in, Hero