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The power of reads - thin value

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StackHunter

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2650 posts
Joined 09/2010

$200.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

SB: $151.50
BB: $347.00
UTG: $307.00
Hero (CO): $203.00
BTN: $200.00

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is CO with A Spade 9 Club
1 fold, Hero raises to $6, 1 fold, SB calls $5, 1 fold

Flop: ($14.00) 6 Spade 4 Club Q Spade (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($14.00) 6 Heart (2 players)
SB bets $20.00, Hero calls $20

River: ($54.00) 6 Diamond (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $4.00, SB raises to $66, Hero calls $62

Final Pot: $186.00
SB shows 9 Heart J Spade
Hero wins $183.00
(Rake: $3.00)

He plays 29/16, but stats are more or less irrelevant this time. Stabby and aggressive in general.

Reads:
- slowplays OTF with monster, POT, 1/2
- donk MINbet on wet flop w/ AIR
- donk 1/2 2ndp F+T+R
- c-bet OVERbet 'OAD' 1 OC
- fastplay monsters OOP: x/mr+1 bb


Flop
He didn't donk 1/2, so he doesn't have 6x and most likely 4x as well (let's call it SDV - Showdown Value).

He also didn't donk with a MINbet, therefore it looks like he has something from the following holdings:
- AIR
- a good hand (TP)
- a monster.

Turn
He donks with an OVERbet. Now I can rule out monsters, since he slowplays them OTF and leads for POT. I know there is another read telling me that he fastplays them when facing a c-bet, but I checked back this time. I have also seen him OVERbetting with 1 overcard "one and done". So basically his bet sizing exposes the true strength of his hand. He can't have any SDV, can't have a monster, his TP probably don't play this way - that leaves his range only with one category:
- AIR

River
River is a very good card, although now I split with all Ax, but I don't think he plays Ax this way. I am fairly sure I beat his entire range. Therefore I go for a thin value bet, which at the same time might induce a spazz. He x/r POT and I snapped him in like 0.5 second. To be honest, before betting I was considering a value 3b shove vs his x/r AI, but ultimately decided to end the hand on this street.

Posted 10 months ago

NoWayFolding

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3807 posts
Joined 03/2008

Why arent you betting flop?

You are basically given him free equity...

Apart from that like your line.

Posted 10 months ago

NickDee

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127 posts
Joined 05/2010

Asking for opinions? Or just a barg?

Posted 10 months ago

StackHunter

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2650 posts
Joined 09/2010

Why arent you betting flop?



Because I don't know how he plays his draws, maybe he x/r with them. I mean, OTF I wasn't fully sure about his hand strength, therefore I didn't want to build the pot.


Asking for opinions? Or just a barg?



50% of the former and 50% of the latter Wink

Posted 10 months ago

shuttle

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3333 posts
Joined 11/2008

CyberShark

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46 posts
Joined 11/2011

terp

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1996 posts
Joined 01/2008




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