Small Stakes Shorthanded NL Poker Forums

$0.50/$1 No Limit Holdem
OnGame
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG StrTjo ($170.10) 170bb
UTG+1 N0pr3s3n7 ($100) 100bb
CO Nicole1967 ($113.63) 114bb
BTN -Play-2-win- ($96.69) 97bb
SB elostelija ($134) 134bb
BB lucabrasi56 ($135.45) 135bb

Pre-Flop: ($1.50, 6 players) N0pr3s3n7 is UTG+1 Q A
1 fold, N0pr3s3n7 raises to $3, 1 fold, -Play-2-win- calls $3, 2 folds

Flop: A 6 K ($7.50, 2 players)
N0pr3s3n7 bets $5, -Play-2-win- calls $5

Turn: J ($17.50, 2 players)
N0pr3s3n7 ?

guy is almost uknown.What range do you assign him for calling pre btn vs mp ? I generally think that people flat like ATs+,AQo+,KTs+,JTs+,QTs+ and pp's btn vs early pfr.On the turn i'm really confused what to do.Most of his Ax hands now have 2 pair , also KJs , QTs got the gutter.ALso hands like JQ,JT,KT,KQ i'm not afraid I don't know what he does when I check to him. Any ideas , both on preflop calling range and postflop plan for the hand ?

What do you expect villain's range is for getting to the turn? This is a x/f or a b based on the range you assign villain. Even if we don't have 50% equity vs villain's calling range, betting can still be +EV because villain will fold sometimes.

If we check, it's a check/fold, which i dislike vs an unknown.
I'd bet and ch/fold blank rivers.

Against the range you assigned villian checking folding and bet folding are close but betting is +EV(just) were as folding is 0EV.
So i agree with Misery bet fold turn and check fold non T rivers.

What do you expect villain's range is for getting to the turn? This is a x/f or a b based on the range you assign villain. Even if we don't have 50% equity vs villain's calling range, betting can still be +EV because villain will fold sometimes.

Well , I assume he gets on the turn with all gutters , top pairs , Kx,And yeah there will be fair amount of hands which he will fold when I bet - pair+gutter,worse top pairs,also expect him to just call any 2 pairs and maybe only raise QT . I also did bet with the intention of folding if he raised and happily the river was a T but was going to ch/f the river anyways.

I see unk flatting range as:
{ JJ-22,AQs-A8s,KJs+,QTs+,J9s+,T9s,98s,87s,76s,AQo-AJo,KQo }

We have obviously a value bet vs this range OTF.

When he calls, I view his range as:

Board: Ah 6c Kd Jd
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 32.508% 21.02% 11.49% 259 141.50 { AcQc }
Hand 1: 67.492% 56.01% 11.49% 690 141.50 { ATs+, KJs+, QTs, AJo+ }

By betting you can fold out KJs, maybe some random JJ/TT. I don't think this is enough to justify a 2nd barrel.