Small Stakes Shorthanded NL Poker Forums

SB: $558
Hero (BB): $262
UTG: $487.6
MP: $250.00
CO: $844.25
BTN: $78

Pre Flop: ($2.70) Hero is BB with Q A
UTG raises to $3, 4 folds, Hero calls $2

Flop: ($7.70) 7 7 Q (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks

Turn: ($7.70) Q (2 players)
Hero?


TAG, not enough hands to give stats, but lets just say 20/18. He does however have about 55% flop c-bet. So it's possible he is checking back here pockets.
Do have notes that he's suspicious in terms of thinking people are floating him on dry boards as he has a range for x/r a blank turn as PFR and folding to a turn 3B. We don't have any history.

Standard line? Should I lead turn? x/c ? x/r ?

If my image is really spewy then is this is a good spot for me to x/r and pot river?

Pretend I don't have a Q here, what is the chance he checks back Qx (e.g. some random Q7s or QJo open), QQ, 77 vs an unknown?

He's utg so his opening range is only likely o include a couple of queens. AQ, KQ, and QJ suited.

3 queens are out so if he has a queen there's only 8 combos.

Since he checked back the flop, I think we can say he 99- JJ here a decent amount of the time, and rarely has a queen.

Best to just bet turn ad river for value and let him bluff catch. Hes more likely not to give you credit for a queen since 2 are on the board.

If you take that line and he raises the river there's probably not much value in shoving since hell only call with QX and 77

I might bet like $3 here to induce, hes prob calling one street with Ax sometimes and folding all non paied khigh and lower hands. 66< just got counter-fitted.

im just going for 2 streets of value, make it a bit smaller on the river. i wouldnt bet 3$ here unless thats in aour game plan. bv it looks so much like you want to get called.

Easy bet. Have to get Ax and pairs > 66 call
You dont want them to check turn! Id bet big here too. Small to induce makes no sense.