$200.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players -
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter
Hero (CO): $281.70
Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is CO with A Q
1 fold, MP raises to $4, Hero calls $4, 2 folds, BB calls $2
Flop: ($13.00) 8 Q 9 (3 players)
BB bets $8.00, MP raises to $18.50, Hero calls $18.50, BB calls $10.50
Turn: ($68.50) 2 (3 players)
BB checks, MP bets $34.25, Hero ? ? ?
Donk Flop: 14%
- cc 3b w/ KK
- close to POT = monster
BB is a fishy opponent.
MP: 31/19/1.9/24/57/(8.4k) | VPIP/PFR/AF/WTSD/W$SD/(Hands)
Raise 1st MP: 25%
Fold to 3b: 55% (63% on MP)
Call 3b: 39%
C-Bet F/T: 53 / 54
Hands are datamined. I see this guy probably 2nd time at the tables.
Looks like there is a new trend, more and more regs on these stakes open with a 2 bb raise. I don't watch guys on BFP or Leggo, but maybe someone from them started doing this?
Anyways, I was just about to 3b for value, but eventually decided to flat in order to lure the fish into the pot. Furthermore, there is a very aggro reg on the BTN who is likely to sqz, so I can backraise him.
When fish donks into us I put him on TP, a draw or maybe something weaker. According to my note he isn't very strong. Then the PFR min-raises him. This is a very small raise, therefore I don't think he has any kind of monster like a straight or a set. I put him on QT/QJ/KQ/AQ/KK+ and some combo draws.
I have a posistion and a good hand, plan is to call the flop and re-evaluate the turn.
He looks pretty weak. Obviously I am not going to fold. Question is whether to call or raise. I think I can raise for value against the fish and vs range I put the PFR on. However, if I my estimations are off, I'm slightly value cutting myself. Calling is safer, but there are simply 10 million of bad river cards. Raise might be an overplay though.
Call or raise? (and if raise, what is our best sizing)