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200NL - KQs in squeezed pot

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achabra12

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67 posts
Joined 03/2012

Ongame Network $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players -

BB: $236.23
UTG: $594.43
MP: $278.00
CO: $200.00
Hero (BTN): $215.73
SB: $128.67

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is BTN with K Club Q Club
1 fold, MP raises to $6, 1 fold, Hero calls $6, SB calls $5, BB raises to $28, 1 fold, Hero calls $22, 1 fold

Flop: ($68.00) 3 Diamond 7 Heart 9 Club (2 players)
BB bets $30, Hero calls $30

Turn: ($128.00) K Heart (2 players)
BB checks, Hero ????

Original raiser (MP) is a nit, 13/10 folds to 3-bet 74%. BB is a pretty aggressive reg: 22/19, 9% 3-bet, 40 AFq, 51 WWSF. I think he can be 3-betting a little wider here because the nit will fold a high % of the time.

Anyway the turn is where I'm not sure of the best play. Once we hit our TP is it best to bet/call or is checking and waiting until the river to make a value bet better?

Posted about 1 year ago

improva

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3833 posts
Joined 02/2008

What range are you seeing the turn with?

Posted about 1 year ago

achabra12

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67 posts
Joined 03/2012

JJ-99, KQ, KJs. Also will have AQ, AJs, QJs some % of the time. Personally I'm not calling his squeeze very wide, but I'm probably floating him a lot when he bets flop so small. Is it bad to float with most of my range on this board in this spot?

Posted about 1 year ago

improva

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3833 posts
Joined 02/2008

You can likely jam pretty wide if villain is not a nit. You should NEVER have TT+

Villain should not bet bigger on the flop. That would be a leak. You range looks fine. I would fold with no bdfd.

So now that you have a better picture of your range.. it should be relatively easy to pick a line Smile

Posted about 1 year ago

Adriano85

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898 posts
Joined 02/2012

You can likely jam pretty wide if villain is not a nit. You should NEVER have TT+

Villain should not bet bigger on the flop. That would be a leak. You range looks fine. I would fold with no bdfd.

So now that you have a better picture of your range.. it should be relatively easy to pick a line Smile



Hi improva,
You mean we should 4bet those (TT+) and never call his sqz?
I still don't understand that last part. Could you explain why it's easy to pick a line if we have a better picture of OUR range?
thanks!

Posted about 1 year ago

FatKing85

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597 posts
Joined 09/2009

I try to avoid a call/call preflop line in a spot like this. despite a high fold to 3bet, the nit has 10pfr and is opening from MP, so the reg cant just squeeze super light here.

as played I would check back here. i think youre only getting one street of value from most of the worst hands+ get a chance to pick up a river bluff. when you check behind your hand looks so much like a one pair hand. when you bet youre kinda polarizing your range, but how much air do you really have in this spot.

Posted about 1 year ago

improva

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3833 posts
Joined 02/2008

Hi improva,
You mean we should 4bet those (TT+) and never call his sqz?
I still don't understand that last part. Could you explain why it's easy to pick a line if we have a better picture of OUR range?
thanks!



We can likely jam pretty damn wide with all the money in the pot - provided that the assumption about the wide SQ-range is correct.

Villain is either doing something stupid with AA (thinking something like.. this is a good spot to bluff so I'm not going to bet my aces) or he just capped his range.. I would bet turn, river with all floats and thus also with this hand.

Posted about 1 year ago

CAMEL247

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97 posts
Joined 11/2011

Hi Improva, why not check back and bet river with that range? Since villain may not fold his capped range to two barrels anyway.

Posted 11 months ago

DwelF

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894 posts
Joined 10/2009

Hi Improva, why not check back and bet river with that range? Since villain may not fold his capped range to two barrels anyway.



We destroy his capped range so its only good for us if he isn't gonna fold. Okay he is never 100% capped cause there is the occasional slowplay/trap, and weirdly played AK (can't really see it as a slowplay), but that doesn't look like enough of the time to not bet.

Posted 11 months ago

StackHunter

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2698 posts
Joined 09/2010

You have $157.33 behind, so you can't really shove (obv you can, but that would be...weird). If he has TPTK+ you will lose one street to him no matter what.

Question is, how you can get more value out of his QQ/JJ hands. I'm sure he has plenty of Ax in his range, so by checking we let him he realize his ~~ 8% equity, nothing big. However, imo the most important thing is: when you have value, you want to rep bluff (and vice versa).

This time you have value vs { TT+,AKs,KQs,AKo,KQo } (although lots of TP+ should be discounted, since he double barrels them sometimes) and you would like to rep a bluff. Bluffs would usually bet the turn for $45-$50, so I'd do so. Probably call vs his x/r AI.

Posted 11 months ago




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