Small Stakes Shorthanded NL Poker Forums

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $2(BB) Replayer
SB ($399)
BB ($300)
UTG ($200)
Hero ($295)
BTN ($200)

Dealt to Hero K Q

fold, Hero raises to $6, fold, fold, BB raises to $21, Hero calls $15

FLOP ($43) A 5 Q

BB bets $25.50, Hero calls $25.50

TURN ($94) A 5 Q 8

BB bets $59, Hero calls $59

RIVER ($212) A 5 Q 8 6

BB bets $195 (AI)




The guy is 3betting 9% polarised range vs CO.

I have some reads on him.


-ch/c twice oop AJs @SB vs Btn, ch/shoved river flush bd
(K9xtt) catched bd fd
-donks fd
-delayed bet ip vs miss cb as a bluff ?
-Turn weak sd into a bluff on good riverspot
-ch/r AK on 8xxtt as pfr bvb
-potcontrols good value hands

I expect him to barell a lot the turn with fd's, bd fd's and monsters.
I expect him to potcontrol AK on turn/river for sure, so there are total 4 combos of value and i need like 2-3 combos of bluffs to be +EV call on the river.

His Cbet is 53/38/58, i think he barells against me polarised range, because usually my range on the turn is weak, when floated flop.
His agression frequencies are 30/29/25.
Also he usually makes 2/3 flop, 3/4 turn Cbets in single raised pot, which i don't know how can be useful in this spot.

I expect him to barell a lot the turn with fd's, bd fd's and monsters.
I expect him to potcontrol AK on turn/river for sure, so there are total 4 combos of value and i need like 2-3 combos of bluffs to be +EV call on the river.

Are you forgetting AQ or do you just not expect him to 3bet AQ?

I think he has AQ in his calling range, so i don't expect him to 3bet with.

Pot control AK.. Highly unlikely on this board. On the river.. you have plenty of other hands in your range... AJ, AK you can snap with. Calling with KQ is you exploiting him.. That may or may not be correct play..

Some nice notes and reads you got there, good.

Given his stats "Cbet is 53/38/58" i would be very hesistant to hero call here and i wouldnt expekt him to be thinking so much about your range on turn (he just seems to straightforward).

Preflop you say he´s polarized. Any clue of how he polarizes? We can be in big big problems if he´s the type to take AXs and/or low PPs.

Pot control AK.. Highly unlikely on this board. On the river.. you have plenty of other hands in your range... AJ, AK you can snap with. Calling with KQ is you exploiting him.. That may or may not be correct play..

very straightforward and very correct.