Small Stakes Shorthanded NL Poker Forums

$100.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players -
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

SB: $126.40
BB: $357.16
UTG: $100.00
Hero (MP): $193.45
CO: $105.00
BTN: $124.90

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is MP with A K
1 fold, Hero raises to $3, 1 fold, BTN calls $3, 2 folds

Flop: ($7.50) 6 T Q (2 players)
Hero bets $5.50, BTN calls $5.50

Turn: ($18.50) 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $9.25, Hero calls $9.25

River: ($37.00) 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $26.00, Hero ? ? ?

20/16/2.7/30/70/(687) | VPIP/PFR/AF/WTSD/W$SD/(Hands)
3-Bet: 7.9% (5% vs open from MP, but 10% vs open from UTG)
Call Open BTN: 6%

Fold to C-Bet F/T/R: 33 / 20 / - ...............(only 13% IP OTF)
Bet vs missed c-bet OTT IP: (1/1)
AFq F/T/R: 38 / 27 / 41
WWSF: 47%

- turns good SDV into a bluff OTT (raises 2ndp) when
i barreled on scare card
- value bets 2/3 TPGK vs missed R cbet

Preflop
Standard.

Flop
Although he doesn't flat a lot pre, he looks like a float happy player. My plan was to either barrel him off on blank T/R cards or to switch into x/c mode with SD value (the latter is prob better, since I saw him turning a 2nd pair into a bluff by raising it OTT).

Turn
I picked up a 2nd nut flush. I am dead against 98cc, though I am not sure if he flats SCs IP, given his low gap between VPIP and PFR. According to my plan I x/c his weak stab. Looks like air or a weak hand turned into a bluff.

River
And now he bombs about 3/4 PSB. Here are possible AcXx combos:
(5) AcJc, AcKd (only one combo here, I assume he 3-bets the rest pre), AcQh, AcQd, AcQs

And that's all, unless he loves flatting AA IP, which I don't know yet.

Call river?

Yeah I think all of the info you have here leads to this being a call. He doesn't have a lot of Ax of clubs combos, he seems to float often, and he has shown he is capable of turning hands into bluffs. I'd call and make a note.

bet turn

bet turn

Why?

You don't have the 2nd nut flush.

Everything in the hand makes me want to call but for some reason I feel like his river bet sizing indicates the Ac.

I think it probably comes down to how often you think he thinks you've taken this line with the Ac.

Do you think he can vbet worse on the turn?
DO you think he could call with a worse flush on the turn?
Do you think this type of player turns hands into bluffs?
Do you think he can vbet worse on the river?

Do you think he can vbet worse on the turn?
Yes.

DO you think he could call with a worse flush on the turn?
Yes.

Do you think this type of player turns hands into bluffs?
Yes for sure.

Do you think he can vbet worse on the river?
I don't think so. His range is polarized there.

my standard would be to bet turn as well, thats what Id do with all bluffs as well. I think if you c/c the turn, you have to call on the river because you rep a range weaker than it is. i think you could have a weak flush on the turn thats just not good enough to valuebet but good enough to bluffcatch, and he can expect you to fold that to a riverbet.