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NL100 AQo TPGK in 3way - stab OTT?

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StackHunter

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2650 posts
Joined 09/2010

$100.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players -
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BB: $126.90
Hero (UTG): $269.95
MP: $61.40
CO: $25.50
BTN: $176.50
SB: $47.42

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is UTG with Q Spade A Diamond
Hero raises to $4, 2 folds, BTN calls $4, SB calls $3.50, BB calls $3

Flop: ($16.00) J Heart A Spade 9 Club (4 players)
SB checks, BB bets $10.00, Hero calls $10, BTN calls $10, SB folds

Turn: ($46.00) 7 Heart (3 players)
BB checks, Hero ? ? ?

SB: 43/27/1.1/41/38/(266) | VPIP/PFR/AF/WTSD/W$SD/(Hands)
Fold to C-Bet F/T/R: 24 / 17 / 50
This guy is a fish.

BB: 24/20/1.9/25/61/(1.0k)
3-Bet: 12.1% (Sqz: 2%)
Donk Flop: 6%
Fold to C-Bet F/T/R: 36 / 0 / 0
- float happy IP w/ any bd draws, stabs IP 1/2 'OAD'
- NFD OOP: passively x/c twice, didn't lead when hits
- double x/c TPGK on ultra wet brd
- bluff cbets on Kxx mono in 3way fish involved

BTN: 22/15/4.0/22/50/(143)
Fold to C-Bet F/T/R: 50 / 100 / -
- 4b insta AI pre w/ 44

Preflop
Standard.

Flop
I put him on Ax, gutshots, OESDs and maybe 99/JJ (however, those are way better off x/r OTF). If this assumption is correct, this is a call.

Turn
Now I am up against two regs. The flop donkbettor checks, which means he prob gives up (he would have bet T8, sets and two pair imo) with TP / draw / air. However, there is also a player on the BTN.
He might have some lower Axs, but not sure if he is gonna call one more bet with those.
What is our best move?

Posted about 1 year ago

zachd2323

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2852 posts
Joined 04/2010

This is a tough spot. I don't think there is a ton of value in betting here, but I don't feel great about giving a free card either. I think I would lean towards checking and reevaluate.

Posted about 1 year ago

Gorvacofin

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118 posts
Joined 07/2008

Agree with Zach. I don't think there's much value in betting, even though betting gives a little protection and making subsequent streets easier to play.

Posted about 1 year ago

Shippopotamus

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140 posts
Joined 07/2011

Agree with Zach. I don't think there's much value in betting, even though betting gives a little protection and making subsequent streets easier to play.



I still think a bet is +EV, if we assign a range of TP/2P/sets/draws for BB's flop donking range, his turn check eliminates sets and 2P type hands because he is definitely barreling them on this board. What are you going to do when you check and BTN bets turn and river? That makes your hand super hard to play. When you check the turn you basically turn your hand face up. Vs good regulars they will recognize that and destroy you in these situations. You have to think about what's optimal for your whole range in this situation. If you are checking TP, that means you are only betting slowplayed sets/2P in this spot, because you should never be bluffing this turn. I'm going to bet all hands with SD value here and c/f my draws on this turn.

Also, lets say both villain have smaller Ax, just because they will fold those hands doesn't mean it is incorrect to bet. Combined they have 6 outs vs your hand, which is ~12% equity. There is always value in someone folding equity.

Posted about 1 year ago

slowlane123

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378 posts
Joined 07/2010

Easy bet.

Pretty much what shippo said.

Posted about 1 year ago

StackHunter

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2650 posts
Joined 09/2010

$100.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players -
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BB: $126.90
Hero (UTG): $269.95
MP: $61.40
CO: $25.50
BTN: $176.50
SB: $47.42

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is UTG with Q Spade A Diamond
Hero raises to $4, 2 folds, BTN calls $4, SB calls $3.50, BB calls $3

Flop: ($16.00) J Heart A Spade 9 Club (4 players)
SB checks, BB bets $10.00, Hero calls $10, BTN calls $10, SB folds

Turn: ($46.00) 7 Heart (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $30.00, BTN calls $30, BB folds

River: ($106.00) 2 Club (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $64.00, Hero folds

Final Pot: $106.00
BTN wins $103.00
(Rake: $3.00)

Posted about 1 year ago

Shippopotamus

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140 posts
Joined 07/2011

hm... weird line by button. I'm guess he has some non-nut 2p type hand in this situation. There should be very few draws in his turn calling range. I think its WP.

Posted about 1 year ago

SpewKid

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575 posts
Joined 02/2008

What's so weird about button's line? How do you think he plays any 2 pairs, T8s and QTs? Having BTN in the hand makes the turn really tricky, since he probably shouldn't overcall the flop with less than AQ or an oesd. I think turn might actually be a c/f.

Posted about 1 year ago

zachd2323

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2852 posts
Joined 04/2010

What's so weird about button's line? How do you think he plays any 2 pairs, T8s and QTs? Having BTN in the hand makes the turn really tricky, since he probably shouldn't overcall the flop with less than AQ or an oesd. I think turn might actually be a c/f.



Yeah I disagree with those saying that this is an easy bet. BTN probably isn't peeling OTF w AT or worse Ax. T8s got there leaving only QTs for draws that he can have. I'm not saying it is for sure a check, but hardly a clear bet imo.

Posted about 1 year ago

zankaa

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688 posts
Joined 04/2008

Am i really crazy that want to bluff the river? Grin

OP whats your stats? And image?

Posted about 1 year ago

StackHunter

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2650 posts
Joined 09/2010

Am i really crazy that want to bluff the river? Grin

OP whats your stats? And image?



More on the loose and aggro side, but not a complete maniac. Don't remember any more info about my image then.

Posted about 1 year ago




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