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improva

Avatar for improva

3833 posts
Joined 02/2008


Should villain fold to my 3rd barrel with KT/KJ/KQ there?
He obviously doesn´t beat my valuebetting range but there are a couple of missed draws.
There aren´t so many huge bluffs on NL 100 so i decided to go for it.
What do you think? burning money?



do the math!

Posted about 1 year ago

direstraights

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1095 posts
Joined 12/2011

I'm not certain I even agree with the double barrel, let alone the tripple barrel when a villain with such a high raise flop % x/calls after the fish folds, I'd expect him to x/raise his draws here and we're facing at worst 9x on the turn. And even if he did x/call a draw on the flop, there's a non zero chance he'll x/raise the draw on the turn.

I wouldn't fire three on the river unless an Ace or heart comes in (obviously a Q) because you need a significant change in the board texture to get most people off a K there fwiw.

Posted about 1 year ago

pokergarden

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374 posts
Joined 11/2010

I think check the turn and take the free card, a Q gives you nuts and a J or T would beat his 9x and he's always checking the river with a 9 so you see a free showdown.

If you really want to bluff here, a heart would be a good card to bluff, but this river is bad. He's not folding KQ or KJ and if he's bluff catching wit a 9 on the turn this crd didn't reall change anything. He can put you on missed FD all day.

Posted about 1 year ago

ned da stampede

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18 posts
Joined 09/2009

if your just trying to fold out fd, just make it 25 or so. Never folding a King here in my opinion.

Posted about 1 year ago

DwelF

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894 posts
Joined 10/2009

I'm okay with it if you truly commit, this isn't a bad spot to overbet cause his range is almost entirely bluffcatchers. Might aswell put the pressure on and force a fold. Villains range is capped at top pair so yeah def not a bad spot to go for an overbet.

Posted about 1 year ago

direstraights

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1095 posts
Joined 12/2011

Villain's range isn't capped by top pair, there's no reason he can't check/call down a set, altho' it's certainly weighted towards top pair.

I'm not certain about the overbet, the problem is a lot of guys just say to themselves, "if I fold top pair here I'm exploitable" and call anyway.

Posted about 1 year ago

terp

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1996 posts
Joined 01/2008

flop and turn are good

river you're just getting called basically always except by AXhh

Posted 12 months ago

1bigazzdog

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194 posts
Joined 05/2011

[quoteI 3barrel bluff here because we are 3way on the flop and so my range should more tend to valuehands.[/quote]
Isn't this a good reason to not barrel off since our range is stronger villains calling range is also stronger??

Posted 12 months ago

1bigazzdog

Avatar for 1bigazzdog

194 posts
Joined 05/2011

3barrel bluff here because we are 3way on the flop and so my range should more tend to valuehands.


Isn't this a good reason to not barrel off since our range is stronger villains calling range is also stronger??

Posted 12 months ago

terp

Avatar for terp

1996 posts
Joined 01/2008

very insightful, and yes, if he is playing well, his range will be stronger on average than our betting range. we will have semibluffs and possibly pure air while he will not.

Posted 12 months ago




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