improva
3833 posts
Joined 02/2008
Should villain fold to my 3rd barrel with KT/KJ/KQ there?
He obviously doesn´t beat my valuebetting range but there are a couple of missed draws.
There aren´t so many huge bluffs on NL 100 so i decided to go for it.
What do you think? burning money?
do the math!
Posted about 1 year ago
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direstraights
1095 posts
Joined 12/2011
I'm not certain I even agree with the double barrel, let alone the tripple barrel when a villain with such a high raise flop % x/calls after the fish folds, I'd expect him to x/raise his draws here and we're facing at worst 9x on the turn. And even if he did x/call a draw on the flop, there's a non zero chance he'll x/raise the draw on the turn.
I wouldn't fire three on the river unless an Ace or heart comes in (obviously a Q) because you need a significant change in the board texture to get most people off a K there fwiw.
Posted about 1 year ago
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pokergarden
374 posts
Joined 11/2010
I think check the turn and take the free card, a Q gives you nuts and a J or T would beat his 9x and he's always checking the river with a 9 so you see a free showdown.
If you really want to bluff here, a heart would be a good card to bluff, but this river is bad. He's not folding KQ or KJ and if he's bluff catching wit a 9 on the turn this crd didn't reall change anything. He can put you on missed FD all day.
Posted about 1 year ago
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ned da stampede
18 posts
Joined 09/2009
DwelF
894 posts
Joined 10/2009
I'm okay with it if you truly commit, this isn't a bad spot to overbet cause his range is almost entirely bluffcatchers. Might aswell put the pressure on and force a fold. Villains range is capped at top pair so yeah def not a bad spot to go for an overbet.
Posted about 1 year ago
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direstraights
1095 posts
Joined 12/2011
Villain's range isn't capped by top pair, there's no reason he can't check/call down a set, altho' it's certainly weighted towards top pair.
I'm not certain about the overbet, the problem is a lot of guys just say to themselves, "if I fold top pair here I'm exploitable" and call anyway.
Posted about 1 year ago
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terp
1996 posts
Joined 01/2008
1bigazzdog
194 posts
Joined 05/2011
[quoteI 3barrel bluff here because we are 3way on the flop and so my range should more tend to valuehands.[/quote]
Isn't this a good reason to not barrel off since our range is stronger villains calling range is also stronger??
Posted 12 months ago
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1bigazzdog
194 posts
Joined 05/2011
3barrel bluff here because we are 3way on the flop and so my range should more tend to valuehands.
Isn't this a good reason to not barrel off since our range is stronger villains calling range is also stronger??
Posted 12 months ago
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terp
1996 posts
Joined 01/2008