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100NL - villians range after Squeeze

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McEiht

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51 posts
Joined 10/2009

Hi guys,

this is a zoom hand vs two standard regualrs, this means there are only stats no history/image etc. The openraiser is 25/23 60h and the squeezer is 25/20 120h.

Poker Stars $100.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1723281
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

Hero (BTN): $230.06 - VPIP: 46, PFR: 39, 3B: 17, AF: 2.6, Hands: 20238
SB: $102.21 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 19, 3B: 8, AF: 0.0, Hands: 21
BB: $100.00 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 20, 3B: 6, AF: 4.0, Hands: 122
UTG: $157.99 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 17, 3B: 4, AF: 3.5, Hands: 118
MP: $245.16 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 22, 3B: 15, AF: 1.4, Hands: 55
CO: $237.42 - VPIP: 33, PFR: 25, 3B: 14, AF: 2.3, Hands: 117

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN with X X
1 fold, MP raises to $3, 1 fold, Hero calls $3, SB raises to $9, 1 fold, MP calls $6, Hero calls $6

Flop: ($28.00) T Club 6 Club K Club (3 players)
SB checks, MP checks, Hero bets $15.00, SB folds, MP calls $15

Turn: ($58.00) 6 Diamond (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $35.00, MP calls $35

River: ($128.00) 4 Diamond (2 players)
MP checks, Hero (170 behind)

So deep Villian would 4bet AA/KK preflop and a flush(and JJ) bet the flop or check/raises on Flop or turn most of the time i think. Therefore,villian hast never a nutted hand on the river. Do u think a shove would be profitable? KxJc has a very hard time calling there.

What do u think?

Mc8

Posted about 1 year ago

fabi2266

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181 posts
Joined 09/2010

Doesnt look too strong. A lot of Acx hands, could also have slowplayed pocket 10s, KQs, maybe KJs - but I never see him having KJo there, should have folded that pre. After I dont know what you have I cant say if you should bluff here - it depends...

Posted about 1 year ago

McEiht

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51 posts
Joined 10/2009

After I dont know what you have I cant say if you should bluff here - it depends...



if u think about bluffing or not, my hand doesn´t matter

Posted about 1 year ago

IAGTTAYM

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AIF
821 posts
Joined 03/2008

I think a shove is very profitable here, especially if you have a big club blocker. I would have sized it a bit bigger on flop/turn though.

Posted about 1 year ago

IrwinFletcher

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37 posts
Joined 04/2009

His range is huge. The squeeze was very small.

Shoving looks pretty bluffy. If you had a flush would you shove against a weak non-nutted range?

Posted about 1 year ago

fabi2266

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181 posts
Joined 09/2010

if u think about bluffing or not, my hand doesn´t matter


no, because if you have the ace of clubs, it changes his range a lot. And you also could have some blockers etc.

but if I bluffed i wouldnt shove

Posted about 1 year ago

McEiht

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51 posts
Joined 10/2009



If you had a flush would you shove against a weak non-nutted range?



here, I pobably wouldn´t, (i would bet the turn a little bit bigger with a flush and then shove the river) but thats not the way ssnl players think in this spot. Be honest, if u are in villians shoes and a 25/20 Reg with no history or any dynamic shoves this river, would u call with a pair of kings or even with TT(except u would bet or ch/R the flop with TT) ??? In my opinion, most people think "oberbet/overshoves in 50 -200NL are very big hands most of the time"

Mc8

Posted about 1 year ago

Kazm

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362 posts
Joined 12/2009

We would 3bet AK pf or 4betshove it. Maybe KQ too. Would we bet Kx here on the river?

Our valuerange = flushes and boats?

With your stats he might float lighter with JJ here, but i really dont see him call a riverbet with anything but a strong hand.

Posted about 1 year ago

IrwinFletcher

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37 posts
Joined 04/2009

I guess if you believe that shoving looks stronger than betting a normal size and it will significantly reduce his calling range then it's perfectly fine.

Posted about 1 year ago

zachd2323

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2838 posts
Joined 04/2010

here, I pobably wouldn´t, (i would bet the turn a little bit bigger with a flush and then shove the river) but thats not the way ssnl players think in this spot. Be honest, if u are in villians shoes and a 25/20 Reg with no history or any dynamic shoves this river, would u call with a pair of kings or even with TT(except u would bet or ch/R the flop with TT) ??? In my opinion, most people think "oberbet/overshoves in 50 -200NL are very big hands most of the time"

Mc8



Well TT is a boat, so I doubt he's folding that....but you're right I don't expect to see TT here that often. The only problem I see with this is that in today's games, I think people have a tendency to just never fold when they go into ch/c mode, especially when the board runs out pretty clean. That said, I don't play zoom and game dynamics are probably a lot different. With a clean image, bluffing might be good here.

Posted about 1 year ago

zachd2323

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2838 posts
Joined 04/2010

How do you guys play your value range here? What is the worst hand you value bet and what sizing are you betting?

Posted about 1 year ago

Allermand_DK

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770 posts
Joined 11/2008

Given you're playing IN a zoom ship river with your
whole range! Wink

Posted about 1 year ago

McEiht

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51 posts
Joined 10/2009

Well TT is a boat, so I doubt he's folding that....



yeah, TT doesn´t fold. My fault

Posted about 1 year ago

StackHunter

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2643 posts
Joined 09/2010

You have hidden your hole cards, which does make a difference. Holding A Club highly reduces the likelihood of him having the nut flush. I think you have something from this range: { JJ-22, AQs-A2s, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, AQo-AJo, KQo }

Given your bet sizing I guess you have a draw, something like AQ, QJ or bare AcXx or a weak made hand (JJ comes to mind).

I agree Villain can't have KK here, TT is also unlikely. 66 is only one combo. I also do think he could possibly fold a flush to your shove, because board is paired. But then you should have prepared your plan earlier and bet bigger on the F and T to make a well sized river shove, which IMO should have enough FEQ to show a profit.

Posted about 1 year ago




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