Small Stakes Shorthanded NL Poker Forums

Hi

The villain is a reg:

23/16/1.9, hands 705
cbet 60% (30), turn cbet 67% (6), river cbet 100% (2), river aggression 2.33

Opinions ?

Thanks

Poker Stars $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1672201
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BB: $101.50
UTG: $100.00
MP: $288.72
CO: $190.40
Hero (BTN): $211.20
SB: $72.35

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN with A T
2 folds, CO raises to $3, Hero calls $3, 2 folds

Flop: ($7.50) T 3 5 (2 players)
CO bets $5.37, Hero calls $5.37

Turn: ($18.24) J (2 players)
CO bets $11.58, Hero calls $11.58

River: ($41.40) 3 (2 players)
CO bets $29.65, Hero ??

Anynone?

have you got any reads on him ?
is he a good handreader ?
how often did you see him 3 barrel, was it as a bluff, thin value ?, only the nuts, ... ?
Is villain capable of value betting a weak Jx hand on the river ?
is villain capable of turning a missed flushdraw, or weak showdown hand into a bluff ?

You need answers to most of these questions to make sure what the best line is here.
you have 700 hands on him so normally you should be able to answer most of them, and thus, answer your own question

good luck

with those questions posted above, and the fact we only need 29% equity to call profitably, I think the answer will become obvious.

Thanks man. You are making me think more and approach the game better with this questions.I have trouble to know the answer to all this questions with that sample. Is that bad ?I should know to answer with that sample ? And if yes how I can do it more effectively ? I play 6-9 tables. Until you have a good read don't you have to play with default assumptions of how a reg at 100nl think and approach the game (of course mixing that with the stats and the notes ). That what I am trying to tell is that the regs have a standar thinking and how they see the game and some spots as a default before they have a good read vs certain opponentes.

I know he is a breakeven in 50nl and loosing at 100nl over a fair sample. I don't have a specific read.
I have one note that said that he didn't cbet but c/f J9x as UTG opener vs me on the btn.

I don't think he can hand read that well.

Sorry for my English


Thanks.

If you cant answer those questions after playing 700 questions with him, cut back on tables and really pay attention to how people are playing hands and take tons of notes.

If you cant answer those questions after playing 700 questions with him, cut back on tables and really pay attention to how people are playing hands and take tons of notes.

That, or, and this is what i tend to do.
If we dont have the time/concentration/knowladge, of taking the right notes at the right time, then dont.
This might sound bad, but i know that playing 6-9 tables its gonna be super hard focussing on your own play + the play of villains.
And for regs it doesnt matter, because regs we will be playing whole the time against, so what i tend to do.
Is when i quit a session, is do a session review, and not only my own hands, but also interesting hands that have been played between other players, and then you have the time to take as long as you want to get reads and make notes. THIS only applys on regs though, because regs are gonna be there all the time, fish tend to bust and leave and you never see them again, so while playing, focus more to get reads on the fish because you will need them in game.
Make reads on the regs also, but if you cant find the time ingame, make those reads in your post session reviews,and use them the next session ingame

Also playing less tables helps making notes and getting reads, but if you want to be able to play a lot of tables and still make reads and notes, this is the best way to go i think, just becaus eeven the best of the best cant make notes while 20 tabling, becuase you just dont have the time...

The problem with that is that you are basically excusing sub-optimal play because of having too many tables.

Thanks for the advice.

6 tables in not that much and you can't make that many reads with 300-500 hands.As you can see he 3barel in 700 hands only 2 times and the second was this hand.

About the hand any opinion ?

You should be easily able to answer all the other questions tho and that should be enough information to make a good high EV decision.

As for the hand itself, with no other info aside from what you originally posted, and the fact that we only need 29% equity to call profitably, I lean towards calling. The vast majority of players have decreasing betting frequency as the hand progresses to later streets. This inclines me to believe he will tend to start blindly barreling when not facing much resistance thinking he can blow people off hands.