Small Stakes Shorthanded NL Poker Forums

$100.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
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Hero (SB): $200.55
BB: $106.25
UTG: $100.00
MP: $124.85
CO: $106.50
BTN: $195.50

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is SB with A A
UTG raises to $3, 2 folds, BTN calls $3, Hero raises to $14, 2 folds, BTN calls $11

Flop: ($32.00) 9 9 Q (2 players)
Hero bets $19.50, BTN calls $19.50

Turn: ($71.00) T (2 players)
Hero bets $40.00, BTN calls $40

River: ($151.00) 5 (2 players)
Hero bets $127.05, BTN calls $122 all in

Final Pot: $395.00


I'm gonna copy/paste stats+reads from the previous hand, cause this is the same opponent
This hand took place earlier.

BTN: 22/17/2.2/26/54
Call Open CO: 14%
Call 3b: 40%
Fold to C-Bet in 3bp: 56%
Raise C-Bet in 3bp: 10%

Here are some reads on him, but none of them look useful in this hand.

- floats gs, mr/call OTT
- 3b depolarized OOP
- 3b/5b AQs
- v-bets thinly
- Hero Call Happy when draws miss
- c-bets AIR 'OAD'?
- c-bets DEPO

Table dynamics: I have been 3b and sqz a lot this session, especially vs this guy, also on other tables. The main reason was a hot run, secondly I wanted to take the advantage of his calling tendencies+high fold to c-bet in 3bp.

Preflop
Do you think this sizing is ok? I don't want to give away the strength of my hand by raising too big.

Flop
I c-bet over 1/2, since this board hits him really hard (AQ, KQ, QJ, QT, JT, TT-JJ, KJ will call).

Turn
KJ combos have improved, at least 4 of them, there is still plenty of value tho.

River
Do you like this shove? What is your experience in such spots, are people stationy enough to call here with AQ/KQ, which would make shoving +EV?

It's fine to make it that big pre as you are deep with the btn and oop.

I like the shove OTR as he is going to jam everything that beats you if you check and so unless you are going c/f the river then shoving is fine. Perhaps betting 1/2p OTR will get more calls but your hand never looks like a bluff but Im not sure tbh how much more often I would expect him to call and it sucks to get shoved on

Perhaps since he's kind of floaty turning your hand into a bluff catcher and let him bluff gutters and lower pairs and its maybe likely he'll value own himself with AQ than call off with it.

your range didn't include any 9x hands. This deep IP he's going to have 89s, 9Ts, maybe 79s and J9s.

I don't know if he can call you on the river with AQ, so i'm not sure what you're getting value from. Your only real bluffs are AsKs/TJs ( if you 3b TJs here).

Aren't you at the bottom of your range here ( AsKs - KK/AA - sets+) ?

If he v-bets thin, is it so thin that you x/c the river