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NL200 NFD in 3bp - plan for a hand

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StackHunter

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2698 posts
Joined 09/2010

$200.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players -
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

MP: $327.40
Hero (CO): $253.75
BTN: $239.50
SB: $434.35
BB: $220.35
UTG: $200.00

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is CO with 4 Spade A Spade
1 fold, MP raises to $6, Hero raises to $18, BTN calls $18, 3 folds

Flop: ($45.00) 7 Spade T Diamond J Spade (2 players)

MP: tight reg 22/18, folds to 72% of 3-bets, plays ~~ 12 tables. I 3-bet him maybe once few orbits earlier, so he shouldn't be suspicious.

BTN:

http://screenshooter.net/8739124/crtrjuo


- floats A-high IP BvB
- mr+few bbs w/ AIR -> gives up OTR
- reacts on scare card
- 3b depolarized OOP (JTs vs MP open, K9o)
- c-bets polarized
- 4b insta AI 99 vs sqz
- didn't barrel on scare card in 3bp
- Hero Call Happy
- combo draws: aggressively


BTN is a slightly winning reg, plays about 9-12 tables.

Preflop
Hand is playable if called, he folds a lot, my image is clean.

Flop
Now I would like you to help to develop a plan vs this opponent. He looks like a float happy player.

First off, his range. I put him on: { QQ-TT,AQs,KQs,AQo+ } and maybe some premiums, few combos
I think we are too deep to x/r here. That being said, c-betting should have the highest EV (we should have around 20-40% fold equity + 38-44% pot equity).

If he raises, I think I should call, since most of his range consists of better hands. I am stacking off on T Spade.

Best sizing? Around $30 should be fine?

Turn
Let's say he calls and the turn brings second FD, 3 Diamond. Almost 100 bbs behind, pot is about 50 bbs.

a) x/f is 0EV
b) can c-betting be +EV? He raises a lot OTT, I wouldn't be suprised to see him raising here with KQs, AQ+ (at least in diamonds) or with slowplayed sets. We don't have much FEQ and our equity is poor.
c) x/c looks weak and -EV for me
d) x/r AI might be an overplay, but it exploits his floating tendencies to the max

Posted 11 months ago

Adriano85

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898 posts
Joined 02/2012

You know this board sucks because we have very low FE on textures like this. I don't expect him to fold anything from the range you gave him on the flop. Do you think villain is going to bet the overcard combos on the turn when you check? If that is the case we can c/jam the turn vs this player. Pot on the turn will be $105 and villain will bet around $60 we can jam $190 into $165 to make him fold his overcards. When called we still have some EQ vs his sets and KQ... or am I totally off?

p.s. compliments for your posts, always very smooth and well organized! bardzo ladnie!

Posted 11 months ago

snarble5

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1685 posts
Joined 07/2010

NoWayFolding

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3807 posts
Joined 03/2008

First off, his range. I put him on: { QQ-TT,AQs,KQs,AQo+ } and maybe some premiums, few combos



Against that range you have got 44%. Thats alot.

Seems like a pretty easy check shove and hope he folds any of his range.

Betting sucks because he can raise or shove some of the hand that might bet/fold.

Posted 11 months ago

StackHunter

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2698 posts
Joined 09/2010

Against that range you have got 44%. Thats alot.

Seems like a pretty easy check shove and hope he folds any of his range.

Betting sucks because he can raise or shove some of the hand that might bet/fold.



Why x/r AI, if he folds hardly anything and we are underdog vs calling range? What do you think of x/c?

Posted 11 months ago

snarble5

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1685 posts
Joined 07/2010

we're ip btw. oop i like a c/sh tho.

Posted 11 months ago

CDoubleU

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174 posts
Joined 09/2008

We are oop, btn ccalled our 3b. What do you do with your strong made hands here? prob never c/r. Do you c/c any hands here for pot control, if so are you calling down on blanks? Do you think he's going to be less likely to get out of line in a 3b pot 120bb deep? How does he feel about getting stacks in post flop and how does he think you feel about it?

Posted 11 months ago

1bigazzdog

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194 posts
Joined 05/2011

I think ts pretty hard to play this hand poorly considering how mch equity we have.I think either bet/calling or check shoving is fine. Im just not convinced which line is better how do we play the river on a blank if it checks through?? I think if we bet/bet/bet villian folds pp,Tx and some Jx(maybe) were as if we go for the xr he may take a pot control line and snap us off on the river. Sure he may jam his bluff/floats but we still have a ton of equity. I think i prefer bet/bet/bet

Posted 11 months ago

NoWayFolding

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3807 posts
Joined 03/2008

we're ip btw. oop i like a c/sh tho.



Id still bet IP. We just have too much equity to check. We want better hands to fold. Its not really a big deal if we get c/shoved on given our equity.

If you are very sure he will c/shove AQ,AK,KQ then just check back since too much of his range is not folding.

Posted 11 months ago

snarble5

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1685 posts
Joined 07/2010




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