Small Stakes Shorthanded NL Poker Forums

PokerStars - $1 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

MP: $100.89
CO: $59.99
BTN: $119.87
SB: $108.80
BB: $331.46
Hero (UTG): $144.84

SB posts SB $0.50, BB posts BB $1.00

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero has J Q

Hero raises to $3.00, fold, CO calls $3.00, fold, fold, fold

Flop: ($7.50, 2 players) J 7 3
Hero bets $5.00, CO calls $5.00

Turn: ($17.50, 2 players) T
Hero bets $13.00, CO raises to $31.00, fold

CO wins $41.54

Villian is a 70/16 from 60 hands no real reads other than snap call is weak.

Is this fold to nitty or does loose passive fish have enough worse hands in his range to make this call +EV?
I Just can't see villian taking this aggressive line with his marginal holdings???
Thoughts

I would also fold here until I get some better reads. I doubt a guy that seems loose passive is raising you as a bluff that often, and if he is, you should find out soon.

Also, what is his fold vs cbet so far? It doesn't really seem he will have a lot of hands to bluff with here unless he's the type to either turn some kind of made hand into a bluff or float OTF to bluff OTT. Most loose-passive types are unlikely to do either, especially turn a made hand into a bluff. Usually they want to just keep calling.

I would also fold here until I get some better reads. I doubt a guy that seems loose passive is raising you as a bluff that often, and if he is, you should find out soon.

Also, what is his fold vs cbet so far? It doesn't really seem he will have a lot of hands to bluff with here unless he's the type to either turn some kind of made hand into a bluff or float OTF to bluff OTT. Most loose-passive types are unlikely to do either, especially turn a made hand into a bluff. Usually they want to just keep calling.

Fold fcbet 50%(5/10) tcbet 100%(1/1) so his turn range is still wide but honestly the more i think about it, its a fold for sure.