Small Stakes Shorthanded NL Poker Forums

Poker Stars $100.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1773266
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

Hero (SB): $121.75 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 20, 3B: 7, AF: 3.5, Hands: 87399
BB: $200.69 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 11, 3B: 3, AF: 1.6, Hands: 156
UTG: $40.00 - VPIP: 43, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 7
CO: $102.75 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 19, 3B: 8, AF: 3.0, Hands: 254
BTN: $60.98 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 22, 3B: 11, AF: 9.5, Hands: 198

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is SB with T K
UTG calls $1, 2 folds, Hero raises to $4, 1 fold, UTG calls $3

Flop: ($9.00) 5 T J (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $4.00, Hero calls $4

Turn: ($17.00) 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $32.00, Hero needs 40% odds

I can cbet flop/ I can c/c flop, I liked to c/c this time, but he shoves turn, I need 40%, so I made a stove:

Board: 5s Tc Jd 4d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 40.427% 40.43% 00.00% 1174 0.00 { KcTh }
Hand 1: 59.573% 59.57% 00.00% 1730 0.00 { JJ-TT, 55, AdQd, AJs, Ad9d, KJs+, Kd9d, JTs, 98s, 8d7d, AJo, KJo+, JTo, 98o }

in the stove are the best value hands and the strongest bluf hands. I think this is almost worst case scenario. I think he will valuebet his valuehands a normal sizing and shove river a lot more times than shoving them on turn. I think it's a lot of times just a draw.

thoughts?

I think I prefer cbetting here when I have no idea about how villain is going to play postflop.

It's tough to say what he's doing this with readless. I see some fish shoving any Jx because they are "scared" of the draws. Others will just spazz out and shove their draws/air.

Cbet flop, as played fold.

We pretty much always have the nuts on the flop, why did you check?

Cbet flop, as played fold.

We pretty much always have the nuts on the flop, why did you check?

because I wanted to try something different

betting flop is better, yes,

would rather c-bet, easier to know where you are.......onloy hands I see him doing this with is QQ+ air...can probably dbl barrell here for thin value and be able to fold for a cheaper price.

it's good to put yourself in some unusual spots, but i'd prefer if you decided beforehand based on something like "as far as i can tell, checking and betting should induce different mistakes but for about the same +ev"

obv we cannot imagine every way it plays out, but look to get this kind of learning in when you're not really giving up money.