Small Stakes Shorthanded NL Poker Forums

BU seems like a fish
SB is a reg but he may overcalls some more combos than other (plays 22/14) - raise cbet 22%

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($110)
BB ($123)
UTG ($114)
Hero ($120)
CO ($48.50)
BTN ($62.50)

Dealt to Hero T J

fold, Hero raises to $3, fold, BTN calls $3, SB calls $2.50, fold

FLOP ($10) K 4 9

SB checks, Hero bets $7, BTN folds, SB calls $7

TURN ($24) K 4 9 2

SB checks, Hero bets $17, SB calls $17

RIVER ($58) K 4 9 2 3

SB checks, Hero bets $39

I 3barrel bluff here because we are 3way on the flop and so my range should more tend to valuehands.
After the flop he has sth like A9/Kx ,, maybe TT. He c/r all his draws.

So I tried a 3barrel bluff. My question here:
Should villain fold to my 3rd barrel with KT/KJ/KQ there?
He obviously doesn´t beat my valuebetting range but there are a couple of missed draws.
There aren´t so many huge bluffs on NL 100 so i decided to go for it.
What do you think? burning money?

I think this is not the best river card to bluff. He will often look you up here because he only has to be good ~30% of the time and almost all draws in your range didn't make it. Don't see him folding a good K.

dont like it either. I expect him to fold most of his flushdraws on the turn so his range consists almost entirely out of bluffcatchers and a busted flushdraw on the board makes people call really light.

do you think draws would have folded the turn? If he doesn't have a draw, I would think he's likely on Kx such as KQs or KJs - but if you think he plays his draws passively (from a guy that raises the flop 22%?) this is a good triple barrel

dont like this. I dont think he will fold his Kx here especially with your weak river sizing.

I think giving up on the river is probably best. I don't think villain is check/calling two streets with flush draws unless they're 9x hearts. Most of his range is going to be Kx, and, in general, trying to bluff players off of top pair isn't a winning strategy.

Easy x/f OTR, his range is consisted usually of Kx and those are not going anywhere.

@Everyone saying give up otr, what is he calling flop and folding turn with?

@Everyone saying give up otr, what is he calling flop and folding turn with?

Yeah, going for 3 might be better than firing 2 and giving up.

I like this hand. I think you played it very well.

@Everyone saying give up otr, what is he calling flop and folding turn with?

The majority of his FDs?

turn and river are pretty shitty barrel cards. If you want to try to get the guy of Kx, you really need to put the pressure on and make big turn and river bets. However, I try not to bluff people off TP at 100NL cause the majority of the population don't fold.

Ch fold turn. Continue rather on A and cards that give you equity unless you have a read that villain is suspecious when you bet on diamond and A turn and give you more credit on cards that doesn't change the board.
If he is good he should probably fold most of the hands you listed but I would imagine a lot of them would call because of the missed flush draw. That would be my assumption unless i knew he was good at hand reading. I also think you should bet a bit bigger when you want him to fold on the river unless you think he would fold to a bet that look more like a thin value bet around half pot ish.

i think our plan depends on how he is playing some but mostly if we think he knows us/ if we have history/ if he is playing a lot of tables/ ect. i find it impossible to say for sure if we should be going 2 streets, 3, or simply not be bluffing here at all given such little information

If was trying to bluff river, I'd probably overbet, especially since some 65s, and A5s got there.