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200NL: TP vs fish on paired 2flush board


paranoid1

Avatar for paranoid1

29 posts
Joined 08/2010

Villain is 32/8/2. He's calling a ton from BB, so I expect him to have a lot of Ts in his range here. My standard is to call turn but I decided to raise for two reasons. One: He's calling with worse Ts, and there should be more Ts that I beat than KT/AT. 99 might also call. Two: It also makes sense for him to have some sort of draw that wants to see draw cheaply, so I should get some value from those hands.

Also, what do you think of betting river small like I did? If he calls with turn with worse Ts, he'll probably also call river.

Cassava Poker $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 901023
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

BTN: $200.00
SB: $250.15
BB: $275.16
UTG: $208.20
Hero (CO): $325.30

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is CO with T Heart Q Club
1 fold, Hero raises to $6, 2 folds, BB calls $4

Flop: ($13.00) 8 Diamond 8 Spade T Spade (2 players)
BB bets $8, Hero calls $8

Turn: ($29.00) 5 Club (2 players)
BB bets $10, Hero raises to $38, BB calls $28

River: ($105.00) 3 Diamond (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $36

Posted over 1 year ago

mrandom

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282 posts
Joined 02/2009

Every fish has its own donking tendencies so take note Smile I mean, one is always donking with draw, for other this would be 8x almost always...

Regarding the hand - I think this is fine as played. If he will be bigger on the turn, then I will just call turn.

Posted over 1 year ago

Ulysses

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272 posts
Joined 07/2008

Villain is 32/8/2. He's calling a ton from BB, so I expect him to have a lot of Ts in his range here.


That makes TJ/T9/T7s/T6s? Are you sure about these last two? It's thin, but I would bet the river small too.

Posted over 1 year ago

paranoid1

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29 posts
Joined 08/2010

That makes TJ/T9/T7s/T6s? Are you sure about these last two? It's thin, but I would bet the river small too.



Well I'm expecting him to have those yeah, but I could be wrong. I haven't really seen him showdown anything, but his fold BB to steal was like 30%.

Even if he doesn't have those it's still 50/50 if we're dominated or not, so I think the draws would make it profitable? I don't really expect him to have have better than Tx here because of his turn betsize

Posted over 1 year ago

Ulysses

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272 posts
Joined 07/2008

Even if he doesn't have those it's still 50/50 if we're dominated or not, so I think the draws would make it profitable?


Draws wouldn't make the riverbet profitable, unless he is crazy and checkshoves river when he misses. But fishes usually don't do that.

Posted over 1 year ago

paranoid1

Avatar for paranoid1

29 posts
Joined 08/2010

Draws wouldn't make the riverbet profitable, unless he is crazy and checkshoves river when he misses. But fishes usually don't do that.



Yeah I was talking about the turn, that even if we are only good vs 50% of his value-range, we still get value from raising because of his draws

Posted over 1 year ago




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