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PLO25 top set OOP in 3bet pot on straight flop

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BillGatesIII

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5 posts
Joined 08/2011

Playing some PLO25 ZOOM and had a discussion with my brother on this hand.

Only ten hands on villain so he/she is a complete unknown.

- To 3bet or not to 3bet preflop?
- To cbet or not to cbet on this flop?
- To play for stacks or not to play for stacks?

Poker Stars ZOOM $0.10/$0.25 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $100.52
SB: $12.58
Hero (BB): $25.00
UTG: $44.98
MP: $24.90
CO: $23.07

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BB with 5 Club Q Diamond Q Club 4 Diamond
2 folds, CO raises to $0.85, 2 folds, Hero raises to $2.65, CO calls $1.80

Flop: ($5.40) J Heart 8 Club Q Heart (2 players)
Hero bets $4.28, CO raises to $18, Hero raises to $22.35 all in, CO calls $2.42 all in

Posted 12 months ago

5carab

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928 posts
Joined 07/2010

If you have any stats on the CO they might be worth posting (a super high VPIP still likely means something). Without, I'm not 100% comfortable with the 3-bet 'cas I hate 3-betting OOP in general, but I think it's probably fine given how coordinated you are. Once you've done it, I see no choice but to bet/get it in here. You have the second nuts with a backdoor flush draw and we can expect him to show up wider than just 9T (big draws and other sets are AT LEAST in his range, and potentially a lot more depending on how aggro villain is). Well played imo.

Posted 12 months ago

AAKKds

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183 posts
Joined 12/2011

I like the 3Bet if villain is opening a fairly wide range from the CO, but this is Zoom so there's not a dynamic built up. I would probably flat this hand because the flush value isn't the greatest and your value from this hand is flopping a set and getting it in vs. weaker sets and two pair etc. Also, you are closing the action so there's no need to get it HU or anything like that. This hand also doesn't flop (to use DJ's words) pieces very well ie you're going to miss a lot of flops and a lot of them will be hard to play OOP, especially when you're flushes/FDs get a lot of action.

As played, I'd B/F. This is Zoom, so people are probably playing tighter and I don't think someone is going to pot raise a pair plus flush draw, especially since you block top pair/top two. T9 is also in a lot of hands people call 3Bets with (rundowns like 789T, 9TJK).

Posted 11 months ago

slycebu

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883 posts
Joined 09/2009

B/F less than 100bb's? Even if his range is specifically T9+ flush draws, we've got worst case 33% equity I think (I suck w propokertools fwiw)?

Posted 11 months ago

5carab

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928 posts
Joined 07/2010

No way we can fold. Against T9** we're just over 38%. We're the same vs. AKT* w/ hearts meaning we break even if that's their entire range. Include the occasional flush draw w/ just a gutter or JJ** etc. and we do really well. Bet/fold is a sizeable mistake imo.

Posted 11 months ago

BillGatesIII

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5 posts
Joined 08/2011

Worst equity will be around 28% against QJT9 with two hearts.
QDiamond QClub 5Club 4Diamond 27.56%
QJTHeart 9Heart 72.44%

Against a random T9 it's 37%.
QDiamond QClub 5Club 4Diamond 37.36%
T9 :30% 62.64%

We have 62% against the naked flush draw.
QDiamond QClub 5Club 4Diamond 61.76%
AHeart *Heart :30% 38.24%

And best case scenario is 85% against middle set.

The weird/nice thing about ZOOM poker is that you will see a lot of unknowns. People who just play one or two buyins on their tablet, at the airpoirt, in a pub, you name it.

So without any stats on villain, do we cbet this board? And if we cbet, how much? And if villain shoves, do we call? And if we decide not to cbet, do we fold to, call or raise a bet?

Posted 11 months ago

Teahupoo

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1254 posts
Joined 07/2009

Agree with the above that it's a super easy bet/get-it-in but I really dislike the 3-bet and would much rather flat. This hand actually hits flops pretty poorly despite being double suited and we are OOP with no reads at all on villain. There just aren't that many flops we're happy to play for stacks on. Reads could change this decision for me but I'd want a much more coordinated hand to 3-bet SB vs an unknown CO.

Posted 11 months ago

shuttle

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3332 posts
Joined 11/2008

I'd usually flat pre, as played I'd be getting in on the flop, betting and folding to a raise on this flop would be the nut worst line to take imo.

Posted 11 months ago

AAKKds

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183 posts
Joined 12/2011

I guess I put too much weight on T9 and underestimated our equity against it.

Posted 11 months ago

slycebu

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883 posts
Joined 09/2009

Don't mean to derail, but if it's not an imposition, some follow up q's on deepstacked play for this hand (I rarely play deeper than 250bb's, I'm pretty clueless - I'm assuming the same readless situation):

1. How deep do we need to be to play this as b/c rather than getting it in on the flop?
2. What's the plan for the rest of the hand if we b/c flop?

Posted 11 months ago




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