wrap_it
1111 posts
Joined 03/2009
PeteH
330 posts
Joined 04/2008
I'm interested in this also.
I sometimes 3bet these from the blinds against stealing TAGs who respect my OOP 3bets when big cards flop but I don't think that's profitable in multiway pots.
Here I'd usually just fold, but I guess setmining after the maniac's call could be profitable.
Posted about 1 year ago
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Teahupoo
1254 posts
Joined 07/2009
wrap_it
1111 posts
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orestto
1407 posts
Joined 07/2009
I agree with Teahuppo. As played I think you need to check-raise the flop, it's pretty unlikely you are beat and your opponents are never folding an 8 on this board. If we only call the board can get ugly and situation is very murky going into the and river in a 3-way OOP pot.
Posted about 1 year ago
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5carab
928 posts
Joined 07/2010
I would play this hand from the BB 'cas people suck and I expect to make less mistakes than they do at 25PLO, plus it's really very cheap to get into this pot. Once we reach the flop, I would check/raise all the time and fist-pump get it in if given the opportunity. Wouldn't pot it though, would bet slightly less so people could think I'm trying to steal and potentially stick about with a flush draw (this wouldn't be the case if potting allowed me to ship turn, but as it doesn't, I'll give an 8 a slightly better price to lure hands which are dead into doing something stupid).
Posted about 1 year ago
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wrap_it
1111 posts
Joined 03/2009
Wow, I can't believe I did this right. I went for a c/r for the exact reasons you stated. I tried to make it as big as possible because noone would ever fold an 8 and we do have a PSB left on the turn. I didn't feel superhappy about having to stick it in on this turn, though:
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
PL Omaha $0.25(BB) Replayer
SB ($14.02)
Hero ($25)
CO ($34.68)
BTN ($25.20)
Dealt to Hero 2
5
2
5
fold, BTN raises to $0.85, SB calls $0.75, Hero calls $0.60
FLOP ($2.55) 2
8
8
SB checks, Hero checks, BTN bets $1.22, SB calls $1.22, Hero raises to $6.70, BTN calls $5.48, SB folds
TURN ($17.17) 2
8
8
T
Hero ($17.45) ?
I mean, he has to fold or make a bad call with any 8 that didn't boat up but the T hit his rundowns pretty hard...
Posted about 1 year ago
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shuttle
3332 posts
Joined 11/2008
wrap_it
1111 posts
Joined 03/2009
I've made some calculations. If he opens 40% preflop, his 8x that aren't boats have 25% equity vs my hand and makeup ~6% of his entire range. His hands that have my crushed (T8, 82, TT with spades also within 40% pre) makeup 3% and obviously have me supersmoked on the turn. So if I shove here, he's going to make a slight mistake 2/3 of the time by either folding 25% equity or by making a bad call and calling off a hand that has 8% less equity than it needs for a profitable call. OTOH in 1/3 of the time, I'll get it in almost drawing dead so shouldn't I be c/f here even though it seems weird with my plan on previous streets?
Posted about 1 year ago
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rip2076
2 posts
Joined 10/2011
rip2076
2 posts
Joined 10/2011
wrap_it
1111 posts
Joined 03/2009
I think main goal on the flop and forward is to keep the pot small
But if that's the case - and I can't really disagree given my last post - then what am I hoping to flop with this hand besides quads?
Posted about 1 year ago
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Dutch45
98 posts
Joined 03/2010
On a mobile device so cant really flesh out the exact math but based on the range you estimated should be easy get it on the turn. If btn folds the 66% of the time we are ahead we win $17.17 vs. losing $17.45 33% of the time if we have absolutely no equity, betting should show about $5.50 in positive EV.
On flop agree with check raise smaller bc it looks bluffy and we may induce an 8 to get all in on the flop.
Posted about 1 year ago
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