N0whereman covers more preflop and flop concepts from a numbers perspective.
n0whereman takes you through the math behind PLO! In this comprehensive series, you'll start with a brief overview of basic poker math, then move into PLO specific topics including PF ranges, SPR analysis, 3-betting, draws, flop equity analysis and many other topics, including an overview of the tools you can use to perform your own analysis.
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100% reduction in FD flopping frequency with rainbow hands!!!
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5.20
You state average equity=26.95/63 for the akqjds hand. Is the 63 here correct or incorrectly copied from the previous example? In propokertools, the 32% treshold is met by 50% of the flops and not the 63%as in the midrundown hand. Therefor average equity should be 26.95/50. Do i make a mistake here?
According to PPT:
Equity of 32% for AKQJds = 53.8%
Avg equity on those flops: 57.7%
.538*(201.5*.577-64.5)=~~27.8
27.8-24.5=3.3 (so minus EV by a lot at PL25 due to rake, but +.8$ at PL100).
EDIT: So apparently I set it to "5 card omaha" - good job me
So instead we have .489*(201.5*.531-64.5) = 20.78~ for a 3.7~ bb loss
Time Link to 00:43:12
Hi,
It will be more useful to compute for flush draw (for safe board) and not paired flop.
Hi,
It will be more useful to compute for flush draw (for safe board) and not paired flop.
Often times that is a more useful functional calculation, but that's not what I'm trying to accomplish here.
I'm a little late to the game, but:
I'm not sure the calculation for the AKQJds is correct.
http://i.imgur.com/R0y0e.png?1?5229
This is the graph I get for AKQJds vs AA, you can verify that this is the same thing you get.
http://i.imgur.com/VW6lO.png
This is my attempt at visualising the percentages for when we have 32-40% equity, 40-50% eq. etc.
We should be calling on 52% of flops and the sum of the percentages is 52%, so it seems like this is correct.
32-40%: Average equity 36%, percentage of flops 14.5% -> Total Area: 5.22%
40-50%: Average equity 45%, percentage of flops 13.5% -> Total Area: 6.08%
50-60%: Average equity 55%, percentage of flops 9% -> Total Area: 4.95%
60-70%: Average equity 65%, percentage of flops 5% -> Total Area: 3.25%
70-80%: Average equity 75%, percentage of flops 3% -> Total Area: 2.25%
80-90%: Average equity 85%, percentage of flops 2% -> Total Area: 1.7%
90-100%: Average equity 95%, percentage of flops 5% -> Total Area: 4.75%
Total Area: 28.2%
(These results are pretty similar to what you had, but I couldn't see what numbers you were working with and I had already written this up, so I decided to post this anyway).
Skip to here, the above is unnecessary
But the error is dividing by 63% of flops, when we should be dividing by between 48% and 52% of flops (based on where you estimate the 32% line to be). You actually noticed that the 63% was wrong but forgot to adjust our equity when we call based on that. I'll use my 52% number since my calculations are based on that.
Our average equity when called is 28.2%/52%=54,2%
The calculation would thus be
Call preflop and fold: -24.5bb*48% = -11.76bb
Call flop and lose: -89bb*52%*45.8% = -21.20bb
Call flop and win: 112bb*52%*54.2% = +31,56bb
So the overall EV would be -1.4bb based on those numbers.
EDIT: Aaaand I just saw others pointed it out already. Oh well.
EDIT2: Good series though!
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