sweetjazz3
1999 posts
Joined 02/2007
i definitely don't think you should be opening this hand without a significant skill edge on the players at the table, and even then, perhaps not.
Yeah my primary concern was not about your skill level relative to the other players (which I am in no way qualified to judge), but more that your hand holding is quite crappy and you are up against aggressive players who are likely to make you invest a lot of money early in the hand (as opposed to players in suspenders and baggy pants who will either just fold too much or passively let you leverage your positional advantage).
I thought you did a great job of addressing how to adjust your game plan based on how the players at your table were playing and especially focusing on those on your left for how you handle blind steals.
I feel pretty confident that you would say that 9822ss is in the bottom 5% of hands, and I don't see how it being double suited really makes it a whole lot better. There are almost no boards where you are fist pumping to play for stacks.
Posted almost 3 years ago
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Time Link to 00:45:32
You start with saying that you need to be good like 40% of the time, then you lower it a bit. You do realize that you only need to be good 33% of the time if he pots it right? Here he doesn't even pot it. So it's safe to say that you need to be good less then 33%. ;-)
Edit: Ops, you had already written a comment about this. Sorry. :-)
Posted almost 3 years ago
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MagicNinja
85 posts
Joined 03/2010
Hand on the left, do we ever bluff-raise on the river there? We have a 7 blocker, and there's not many ways he can have 78**, plus if we did have 78** we probably would have checked back on the turn?
yea i did consider this very quickly and your thought process is good, i would need a better read on how someone thinks about the game to make this play though as i'm not repping anything. what this might mean is either a) he is a player that is going to give me respect because i am not repping anything. b) he is definitely NOT a call box.
i'd say the majority of players call you here because nothing really makes sense. i could be wrong though and the play would have been fine.
Posted almost 3 years ago
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frudoc
49 posts
Joined 04/2010
Schweig
1194 posts
Joined 10/2008
Time Link to 01:00:25
Here with AK2 on an 2AK2T board, think you should have considered shoving more given he bet 112 into 329 and you had 286 left. This bet sizing is very indicative of a weaker hand than AA or KK, which most of the time given he has the option to ship 286 he probably would have. Of course, he could be just super levelling with those hands but it's more likely he has something like QJ that was semi bluffing, given combinatorics of how there's 1 AA and 1 KK left and 16 QJs. It would certainly make sense he would bet it as we are mostly repping AK here. Guess he can have TT too but quite unlikely given action.
Of course he may not call but a lot of people do when getting good pot odds and having bet small, thinking they've induced a bluff.
Posted almost 3 years ago
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Schweig
1194 posts
Joined 10/2008
Time Link to 00:17:05
Here with KK in a 4-bet pot on a 977dxd board. I'm not convinced that anything else is retarded or it's as simple as you make it out to be with $348 in a $214 board. Sure, with exactly AA or KK we'd rather make things simple and just pot and pot commit ourselves, but are we doing this when we have AKQJ or something that missed. If yes, then it makes sense that we pot here, but if no, then we should think more about balancing our range with our bet sizing here. When we have air, perhaps a 130 bet would accomplish the same thing, or if you're worried about lighter peels, then maybe something more like 160.
Also, even if we don't have air that much, then we may induce lighter shoves if we bet smaller with AA, which would be great if we have them crushed, because we no longer look like we're calling 100% so a hand like bare T8, bare low diamonds may decide there is some fold equity even when there isn't.
Posted almost 3 years ago
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