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ZOOM 25 horrible top set spot

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aggrosquid

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260 posts
Joined 03/2012

opponent is 52/25 over 60 hands. Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players - View hand 1853306
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $78.45
SB: $18.99
BB: $85.54
UTG: $61.20
MP: $7.12
Hero (CO): $76.08

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is CO with Q Club Q Heart K Diamond K Heart
UTG raises to $0.75, 1 fold, Hero raises to $2.25, 3 folds, UTG calls $1.50

Flop: ($4.85) Q Spade 8 Club 4 Diamond (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $3, UTG calls $3

Turn: ($10.85) 5 Spade (2 players)
UTG bets $10.36

Hero?

Posted 9 months ago

Columbo

Avatar for Columbo

64 posts
Joined 01/2012

I would call.

Your pot odds are ~33% and you have 10 outs or ~20% equity.
I dont think you have much implied odds cause if villain has 67xx he would x/f on any card that pairs the board.
So we miss 13% equity and thats like 6 outs and I think there are definitely 6 cards beside the pairing the board cards that villain would play x/f on like a 9/t/j or a spade.

All assuming villain always has 67xx here and will fold on at least 6 of those cards on the river.

So I call with the intention of bluffing rivers when villain x.

Posted 9 months ago

aggrosquid

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260 posts
Joined 03/2012

I think folding is bad, what do you think of raising? Calling seems best IMO

Posted 9 months ago

n0whereman

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2853 posts
Joined 01/2008

NoWayFolding

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3807 posts
Joined 03/2008

Call turn.

Call river blanks. He can has some worse value hands and definitely some bluffs.

Posted 9 months ago

Osterror

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116 posts
Joined 11/2011

He can easily have stuff like AJT9 KJT9 JT98 with spades etc-

If he was a tighter reg he would have a lot more of those. But also the looser guy has tons in addition to 76xx (which could often CR the turn, btw, imo)

Posted 9 months ago

snarble5

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1685 posts
Joined 07/2010

Bet bigger on the flop + this:

Call turn.

Call river blanks. He can has some worse value hands and definitely some bluffs.

Posted 9 months ago

Columbo

Avatar for Columbo

64 posts
Joined 01/2012

I think I am a little forced to give villain the nuts still but these hands make a lot of sense actually Smile

stuff like AJT9 KJT9 JT98 with spades etc

Posted 9 months ago




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