Pot Limit Omaha Poker Forums

V 90/50 over 40 hands
3b: 20
F3: 0/2
AggF on all streets: 40% - 41% - 25%

FCbet F/T: 2/6 - 0/1
RCbet: 1/7

FCbet 3b: 0/2
RCbet 3b: 0/2

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
PL Omaha $0.25(BB) Replayer
SB ($45.17)
BB ($33.77)
UTG ($47.58)
UTG+1 ($82.02)
Hero ($65.19)
BTN ($61.90)

BB antes $0.05
UTG antes $0.05
UTG+1 antes $0.05
Hero antes $0.05
BTN antes $0.05
SB antes $0.05

Dealt to Hero A K Q Q

UTG raises to $0.50, fold, Hero raises to $2.15, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls $1.65

FLOP ($4.95) 2 A A

UTG checks, Hero bets $3.54, UTG calls $3.54

TURN ($12.03) 2 A A 9

UTG checks, Hero bets $9.60, UTG raises to $40.29, Hero ?

ProPokerTools Omaha Hi Simulation
600,000 trials (Randomized)
board: A9A2
AcQcKdQs 23.24% (130,758 wins, 17,341 ties)
(3%-50%: (A9**,(A*** : *d*d**)))@100,(3%-50%: (A2**,22**))@60,(3%-50%: (99**))@30 76.76% (451,901 wins, 17,341 ties)

That's a sim w/o any bluffs, 60% of all flopped boats, 30% 99 and all A9, A + dd combos. He's obivously a huge drooler so does he sometimes show up with worse Ax to consider calling?
Which rivers do we 3ball if he just calls?

I'm snap folding because I think this is A9 like always, especially since we're still pretty deep on the turn. The QQ in our hand makes me muck even faster and the fact you bet nice and big on the turn which strengthens his range even more.

If he check/called, I'd value bet (besides obvious nuts) 9 and 2, and probably 6-8 non-diamond. I might value bet small on any other non-diamond card too.

I think this is a pretty comfortable fold without many reads. I don't even think he has many A+dd combos except maybe AK that we tie anyway.