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20nl AQs Vs Very Good TAG Axx flop

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kybert'76

Avatar for kybert'76

410 posts
Joined 10/2009

$20.00 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - View hand 1836729
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

UTG+1: $26.71 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 14, 3B: 5, AF: 3.1, Hands: 17670
UTG+2: $19.80 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 9, 3B: 3, AF: 1.6, Hands: 6492
MP1: $33.70 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 11, 3B: 5, AF: 1.9, Hands: 1163
MP2: $48.69 - VPIP: 43, PFR: 10, 3B: 2, AF: 1.0, Hands: 143
CO: $22.67 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 13, 3B: 5, AF: 3.7, Hands: 90056
BTN: $11.84 - VPIP: 60, PFR: 12, 3B: 10, AF: 5.0, Hands: 25
SB: $20.00 - VPIP: 13, PFR: 9, 3B: 3, AF: 1.4, Hands: 225
Hero (BB): $20.00 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 16, 3B: 6, AF: 2.7, Hands: 19768
UTG: $20.00 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 14, 3B: 5, AF: 3.1, Hands: 17670

Pre Flop: ($0.30) Hero is BB with A Heart Q Heart
4 folds, MP2 calls $0.20, CO raises to $1, BTN calls $1, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.80, 1 fold

Flop: ($3.30) 4 Spade A Diamond 8 Diamond (3 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $2.60, BTN folds, Hero calls $2.60

Turn: ($8.50) 3 Heart (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $7.20, Hero ???

Villian is the only player I'd say was very good at this stake. I have taken to very passive play Vs him as he seems to only ever turn over the nuts Vs me and others.

When he bets the turn imo he'll jam any river, so call turn and river or fold turn or raise turn?

I did stove this Vs a range imo he'd bomb the turn and I have 65% EQ.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

75,240 games 0.002 secs 37,620,000 games/sec

Board: Ad 8d 4s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 65.239% 60.89% 04.35% 45810 3276.00 { AhQh }
Hand 1: 34.761% 30.41% 04.35% 22878 3276.00 { QQ+, 88, 44-33, ATs+, A8s, Ad5d, Ad4d, A3s, Ad2d, KQs, KdJd, KdTd, QdJd, QdTd, JdTd, ATo+, JTo }


---

191,070 games 0.015 secs 12,738,000 games/sec

Board: Ad 8d 4s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 80.684% 78.87% 01.81% 150700 3463.50 { AhQh }
Hand 1: 19.316% 17.50% 01.81% 33443 3463.50 { 22+, A2s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }

Posted 11 months ago

LockeD19

Avatar for LockeD19

58 posts
Joined 07/2010

i think a fold is good here. maybe seems a bit tight, but i dont think that a stack off is +EV.

i dont see him often bluff here, and considering the bet size he seems very strong here.

Posted 11 months ago

Poemmel

Avatar for Poemmel

1025 posts
Joined 03/2009


Board: Ad 8d 4s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 65.239% 60.89% 04.35% 45810 3276.00 { AhQh }
Hand 1: 34.761% 30.41% 04.35% 22878 3276.00 { QQ+, 88, 44-33, ATs+, A8s, Ad5d, Ad4d, A3s, Ad2d, KQs, KdJd, KdTd, QdJd, QdTd, JdTd, ATo+, JTo }



he doesn't bet QQ or KK twice on this board and additionally 3way on the flop.
I also think that he doesn't cbet 33 on such a board 3way.
he might not bet this big with AT or AJ, cause there is not much he can get value from.
he can't have any of your AdXd combos, cause the Ad is on the board.
he doesn't take this line with any KQs, I'd reduce that to KdQd.
what has JTo to do in his range?

do you event hink he uses this betsizes with flushdraws?
do you think he will really bomb twice and additionally after the flop was 3way with AT or AJ? you see we are thinking about folding AQ and we don't have all too many worse Ax combos in our range but a lot that has him beat.

why don't you squeeze pre?

any reads on his betsizes? does he always bet this much? you have 90k hands on him, you should know more about this player.
also we need to know his cbet and double barreling tendencies, plus his fold to 3bet and stuff regarding our preflop decision.

and what the heck is this second range? his preflop raising range or what? Grin

Posted 11 months ago

Osterror

Avatar for Osterror

116 posts
Joined 11/2011

This is snap 3-bet for value pre and often get it heads up with the fishy button.

As played we will make a lot of mistakes.

Posted 11 months ago




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