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10nl Wierd Line on Turn

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AycheDubbleYou

Avatar for AycheDubbleYou

234 posts
Joined 06/2012

Merge $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players - View hand 1816106
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter


UTG: $8.30 - VPIP: 87, PFR: 11, 3B: 0, AF: 1.3, Hands: 38

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is MP1 with Q Heart A Diamond
UTG calls $0.10, 1 fold, Hero raises to $0.45, 4 folds, BB calls $0.35, UTG calls $0.35

Flop: ($1.40) 4 Spade 3 Heart 5 Diamond (3 players)
BB checks, UTG bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50, BB folds

Turn: ($2.40) A Heart (2 players)
UTG bets $7.35, Hero ??
Can i ever call here?

Posted 12 months ago

Noreaga

Avatar for Noreaga

304 posts
Joined 10/2011

Poemmel

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1025 posts
Joined 03/2009

Fold



this

we might also just fold the flop.
yes, we have a gutshot, but it's to a one card idiot straight. Our A overcard is kinda shitty, because he could have a deuce or just not pay off on a one card straight board with weaker hands too much, he might also very well lead A2-A5 here, which he has both offsuited and suited in his range.
even with our 10 outs all clean and not discounted we only hit the turn about 20% of the time.
I think his leading range 3way is stronger than if it was HU, so I expect a turn bet a lot, to which we have to fold 80% of the time (if he sizes it properly).
And as you can see, even if we hit one of our outs, we're still not super happy.
Also the BB is still to act, he can easily be c/raising here or c/c with a hand that beats us.

It's close because of his betsize, if he'd bet half pot+ it's definitely a fold on the flop.
and even here I don't think we make a mistake folding, especially if we are unsure about play on further streets.

Posted 12 months ago




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