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Flush against loose/weak villain

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Vandalar

Avatar for Vandalar

112 posts
Joined 08/2008

Hi!
As i thought, he has a lot of stuff in his range that will call me, so i just bet it out. River pairs... Can i assume that he'll call my all-in bet OTR with stuff like TP, trips, bottom pair etc, or will he just call me down to the river and then fold out everything but the super strong hands?
His other stats:
WTSD 29%
WWSF 71%
W$SD 44%
agression: flp 3.8 trn 9.0 riv 7.0
Guess he bluffs a lot turn and river and plays his strong hands passively or what to conclude from these stats? only 78 hands...

Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 7 players - View hand 1794838
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

UTG: $18.66 - VPIP: 34, PFR: 16, 3B: 0, AF: 0.8, Hands: 68
UTG+1: $19.99 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 10, 3B: 0, AF: 0.6, Hands: 48
MP: $19.42 - VPIP: 44, PFR: 1, 3B: 4, AF: 5.0, Hands: 78
CO: $10.00 - VPIP: 13, PFR: 11, 3B: 4, AF: 2.0, Hands: 134
BTN: $41.73 - VPIP: 11, PFR: 7, 3B: 1, AF: 3.0, Hands: 908
Hero (SB): $10.00
BB: $23.27 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 8, 3B: 1, AF: 1.4, Hands: 239

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with 9 Diamond 8 Diamond
2 folds, MP calls $0.10, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.05, BB checks

Flop: ($0.30) 4 Diamond 6 Diamond 2 Diamond (3 players)
Hero bets $0.40, BB folds, MP calls $0.40

Turn: ($1.10) 7 Club (2 players)
Hero bets $1.10, MP raises to $2.20, Hero raises to $5, MP calls $2.80

River: ($11.10) 6 Heart (2 players)
Hero bets $4.48, MP calls $4.48

Final Pot: $20.06
MP shows 7 Spade 6 Spade
Hero shows 9 Diamond 8 Diamond
MP wins $19.29
(Rake: $0.77)

Posted 11 months ago

MaskedManQc

Avatar for MaskedManQc

611 posts
Joined 02/2011

Here are some toughts

1- He play 44% VPIP and has an AF of 5.0 so far. It means that he is very aggressive with a lot of weak holdings.

2- He raises 2 pairs on a very wet board OTT. Knowing that, I think that you still can get a lot of value from worse hands, especially if you have only half a pot bet left. In fact I think that this type of player will call with all his 2 pairs + holding (board his paired so he will be pretty happy to call with JJ for example)

Posted 11 months ago

kReATivE

Avatar for kReATivE

179 posts
Joined 05/2012

Stop posting bad beats. Smile

1. I like the flop overbet lead.
2. I like the turn pot lead.
3. Plenty of 2p/set/straight hands that villain will raise with that will make 3b the turn +EV. Versus a reg, this could be different.
4. River, don't think there's anything else to do other than shove.

Posted 11 months ago




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