Full Ring No Limit Poker Forums

Played this hand over the weekend at my monthly home game. I realize the cbet was far too big, but now that we are in this spot, I'm wondering if we have enough equity to call here based on villain's range. When I get a chance, I'll do the work myself in PokerStove, but wanted to post anyway.

John - Very agrro, bluffy guy who likes to make big bets w/ air or very little equity when he sees weakness. Not a strong or bright player at all. Just bluffs whenever he thinks it will work, regardless of opponent(s) or his cards. If a bunch of people limp, then he loves to raise big and pick up those chips. If he suspects someone is cbetting, then he will occasionally x/r or x/shove (it's often a shove based on his stack almost always being short) just because he thinks that person doesn't have anything. Essentially, he isn't afraid to bluff, regardless of stack sizes, opponents, equity, etc. This is important here because I don't think he considered the fact that his shove wasn't that big relative to the pot.

With all of the being said, I'm wondering if we have enough equity to call here. Like I said, I'll do some PokerStove work later, but feel free to post thoughts beforehand or to do the PS work yourself if you're so inclined

Mitch's Minute Poker $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1748821
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $80.00
SB: $39.00
BB: $80.00
Hero (UTG): $500.00
HJ: $80.00
CO: $80.00

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is UTG with A 3
Hero raises to $8, 3 folds, SB calls $7, 1 fold

Flop: ($18.00) 6 7 7 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $13, SB raises to $31, Hero ?

We need 22.5% equity to breakeven on a call btw.

Is your home game at Pocket Kings in Dublin?

Why do you ask?

Given your description of the SB and the raise size, I think it's a fist-pumping snap call. Fair Warning: I'm on my phone right now, so I haven't stoved any ranges and this is just my intuition.

Yeah if he's allin, I'm thinking this is a call. But I agree about cbetting smaller here. With his stack size you could probably go less than 1/2 pot on dry boards.

It's hard to get an actual correct reading on this guy's range, but I figured that he'd do this with any pair, any straight draw (including gutshots) and occasionally with random overs.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 29.393% 26.85% 02.54% 42532 4027.00 { Ad3d }
Hand 1: 70.607% 68.06% 02.54% 107814 4027.00 { 22+, ATs+, A7s-A6s, KJs+, JTs, T7s+, 96s+, 85s+, 75s+, 64s+, 54s, AJo+ }

So it looks like if that range is even remotely close, that this is a call.

If he plays the way you describe, you either have to bet/call this or better still would be to check behind and let him bluff it off on turn and river, right?

If everyone else is short why are you 4x'ing A3s UTG?

The $80 for the other players is just a default amount.

If he plays the way you describe, you either have to bet/call this or better still would be to check behind and let him bluff it off on turn and river, right?

Calling is an interesting option. I'll have to think about that one.