One ring to rule them all and in the No Limit bind them. DJ Sensei begins his epic fellowship quest with this HH review with his travelling partners.
FATE HAS CHOSEN THEM. DJ SENSEI WILL PROTECT THEM.
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Apparently my Skype went into rapping mode on the 55 hand. What I was trying to say there was that I like 3 betting a wide button opener with a lot of hands, and that 55 isn't a terrible hand to do it with.
You don't have to say sorry. We know what you were on, CrackMonkey! :-)
I like floating on this board, but not with this hand. With 44 thout a club id prefer to bluffraise here, if your hand had some improvement potential i think floating would be better. Plus as some of you said, you know nothing bout his turn cbet frequency and hes loose, maybe hes gonna perceive your range as weak and gonna barrel a lot on overcards/scare cards.
On the final hand (77), if you bet 3/4 pot on the river and got shoved on, would you fold for the remaining 40$ or so you had left?
I think it's a pretty clear fold at that point even given the odds we're getting. The only hand we beat is a pure bluff and he is almost never bluffing in this spot.
(the 55 hand where I called a btn raise from the blinds and c/r the flop)
Stats on villain over ~400 hands are 18/12 with 44% attempt to steal preflop, very low WWSF, so I didn't have detailed reads on him but viewed him as more of a weak-tight player than an aggressive player.
With a small pocket pair in the blinds facing a button raise vs. an aggressive player with a wide range, I hate calling because you flop with "polarized equity" - you either flop a set or you have almost no equity, which sucks because you can't semibluff effectively. So vs. that type of player I'd much rather fold or 3-bet if they don't call many 3-bets. Against a weak-tight player I prefer flatting because they will call a 3-bet with a wide range, which I don't want; but I do have to look for opportunities to steal the pot postflop because I don't have good enough implied odds to only set mine.
I thought this flop was a good one to try and take it away because it's one he would cbet with 100% of his range and probably continue less than half of the time, making the c/r profitable with any two cards. I'm definitely representing a very narrow range, so I'd be much less likely to do this against someone I thought was a good hand-reader. In general at 1/2, people give my c/r's a lot of respect though.
When I found the hand, I thought the turn barrel looked pretty spewy, even though it worked, so that's the main thing I wanted to ask about. Seems like everyone agreed. It works if it gets him to fold 88-QQ here, but I guess that's not a big enough part of his range to justify making the move.
Wish I had been there to talk about this one - no more starting early without me!