Home → Poker Forums → Full Ring No Limit → Call or fold?
Call or fold?
7 posts, 4 voices
villian is 26/22 that seems pretty aggressive with his hands when he plays, i don't have a big sample size of villian. But can i make this call if he shoves all in putting him on some big draw. I have the A spade here giving me backdoor flush outs
Poker Stars $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
CO: $17.35
BTN: $45.65
SB: $9.50
BB: $60.25
UTG: $21.80
UTG+1: $20.55
MP1: $10.50
Hero (MP2): $49.50
Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is MP2 with A 
K 
UTG calls $0.50, 2 folds, Hero raises to $2.50, 3 folds, BB calls $2, UTG calls $2
Flop: ($7.75) Q K 6 (3 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $5.50, BB raises to $57.75 all in, UTG folds, Hero calls $41.50 all in
Turn: ($101.75) J 
(2 players - 2 are all in)
River: ($101.75) 8 (2 players - 2 are all in)
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I think you are behind a lot here. Because you have the A of spades there is less combos of flush draws he will shove (Axss) Which means his range is more likely to be AK, KQ, QQ, 66, QTss, JTss.
If we give him only 3 combos of QQ, because he will raise often. Half the combos of Ako(6), again probably raise. And only 2 combos of AKs we are crushed.
Board: Qd Ks 6s
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 29.672% 15.35% 14.32% 1520 1417.50 { AsKd }
Hand 1: 70.328% 56.01% 14.32% 5545 1417.50 { QcQs, QdQs, QhQs, 66, AdKd, AhKh, QsTs, JsTs, AdKc, AhKc, AhKd, AsKc, AsKd, AsKh }
Even if we take out QQ from his range we are still way behind. IF we take out all the AK hands too, you are doing worse. I would need a good read he is doing this with weak flush draws and he never plays hit sets like this to be calling this. His stats seem solid so you can assume he is aware of what he is repping and hence could be trying to look like a flush draw when really strong.
This flop also hits your range pretty well so he should not really be expecting to get many folds by shoving. This is why i think he is also more likely to have a value hand than a draw.
This is a funky hand. The overbet says 'I got the nuts, or a draw'. Vs draws we're only a bit ahead....I don't see a problem with a fold here.
KQx boards suck for AK.
if he did have a draw here, would you guys ever get it in here or just fold to the overbet every time with tptk?
Yeah I'm sticking it in if I *know* he has a draw. Vs a fish with decent aggro I stick it in etc.
Looks like draw so I would probably call here against aggro player. Stronger hands probably would re-raise less here.
-Millman
he ended up having a set of 66. I just dont see much players shove a set for value, i guess one stop value town...lol
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