KillBill
192 posts
Joined 03/2008
Quick reads: SB is 36/27 over a tiny sample. UTG+1 is 17/8 but not very good. MP2 is 12/9/2% 3-bet and competent.
SB could have anything but I'm pretty sure I have him beat. I feel like UTG +1 would have 4-bet w/ AA but could have flatted here post-flop w/ JJ. I am worried about MP2 though but he could have a AJs or QQ. Folding the best hand in a pot this big would be a monumental mistake? Thoughts?
Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - View hand 616997
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
UTG: $40.00
UTG+1: $68.30
UTG+2: $50.75
MP1: $50.00
MP2: $50.00
CO: $54.65
Hero (BTN): $55.95
SB: $29.00
BB: $89.35
Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN with K
K
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $1.50, 2 folds, MP2 calls $1.50, 1 fold, Hero raises to $6.50, SB calls $6.25, 1 fold, UTG+1 calls $5, MP2 calls $5
Flop: ($26.50) J
7
5
(4 players)
SB bets $22.50 all in, UTG+1 calls $22.50, MP2 calls $22.50, [color=red]Hero ?
Posted almost 2 years ago
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Armisan
647 posts
Joined 03/2009
TheGeek
1469 posts
Joined 01/2009
With the read that MP2 is both tight and competent I think this is a fold. He has seen some three bet pre and somebody cold call that three bet. He has also seen the cold caller shove, get one caller and has yet to see the original three bettor who easily has QQ/KK/AA in their range act and he cold calls. His range is insanely strong. AJs may be in his range pre but I don't think he calls with it here. QQ is possible, but its very optimistic to me to hope the person who has shown the most strength to show up with the very bottom of his range, and also hope to have the other two people beat as well.
Posted almost 2 years ago
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MacAnthony
339 posts
Joined 03/2009
Yeah, I totally hate it, but it doesn't look like any one is folding and the unlikely spot that we are ahead, we have to fade half the deck. How often are we up against QQ, AJ and some weird str8 draw here?
I say we be thankful we found a live table and hope to get a better spot to take their chips. Fold.
Posted almost 2 years ago
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sevens113
81 posts
Joined 07/2009