opponent 27/9

Poker Stars $0.50/$1.00 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

BTN: $111.50
SB: $119.85
Hero (BB): $102.80
UTG: $46.95
UTG+1: $33.10
MP1: $113.10
MP2: $129.60
CO: $92.75

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BB with 2 2
2 folds, MP1 calls $1, 1 fold, CO calls $1, 1 fold, SB raises to $3, Hero calls $2, MP1 calls $2, CO calls $2

Flop: ($12.00) Q 2 5 (4 players)
SB bets $1, Hero raises to $9, MP1 calls $9, CO calls $9, SB folds

Turn: ($40.00) T (3 players)
Hero bets $32, MP1 calls $32, CO folds

River: ($104.00) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP1 bets $69.10 all in, Hero ?

It was an extremely fast shove, usually that to me means he's got excited he's hit. I'm fairly convinced he has the flush. He's fishy but not a maniac.

call but bet the river yourself.

I thought about that but figured he'd shove over any small bet and leave me no choice but to call. I was hoping he'd bet the river small enough for me to call with showdown value.

when I say "bet" i mean "shove". You're not looking to get away from this.

Seriously? Maybe I'm too conservative but these are the type of spots that lose me 100bbs. It's FR, I think at 6max I might be inclined to get it in.

I can see the point 'we need to be right 1 out of 3 times to make this profitable' but for me I put him on a flush and I figure I should lay it down. I guess I'm not factoring pot committment.

Recently, I've been reading players and saying 'he has the flush, I have trips/2p I should fold.', or 'he has trips, I fold my overpair' -' But I'm going to call to see anyway' and every friggin' time I pay off after guessing the guys hand correctly, he has it (the nuts). So recently I've been trusting my own reads. If I have 50bbs in the pot, I'll fold regardless if I think I'm beat. Beat is beat. Against vp40+ fish I loosen up and do get it in more often though.

Yeah good point, I do think in absolutes. But sometimes it's hard to see if these calls etc. are +EV longterm...guess I need HEM.