steinarne
12 posts
Joined 04/2008
Sharpy808
116 posts
Joined 06/2008
IMO, it sucks but I think a fold is appropriate here. Let the big stack take the shot. Worst thing that can happen is the CO doubles thru the BTN... best thing, BTN knocks out CO and your equity goes up.
Must always preface this by saying that if I am incorrect someone please set me straight 
Posted almost 5 years ago
Reply to Topic
Reply w/Quote
steinarne
12 posts
Joined 04/2008
BrianJensen
490 posts
Joined 05/2008
Sharpy808
116 posts
Joined 06/2008
AMT
2019 posts
Joined 01/2008
ok heres the numbers:
EqP%: 11.18
Eqf%: 23.61
Diff%: -12.42
Fold
P.S. thats with no reads on any players
you should list the ranges that you assigned to them to best understand the answer that it gives you. sngwiz only tells you what you tell it first, so it's important to analyze these factors.
Posted almost 5 years ago
Reply to Topic
Reply w/Quote
Sharpy808
116 posts
Joined 06/2008
steinarne
12 posts
Joined 04/2008
Hypnotic
1169 posts
Joined 02/2008
Nebulosity
394 posts
Joined 05/2008
I would also commence turbo-mucking. I think profitable hands would be QQ+, not sure Id even play JJ here, I think you are flipping with AK or AQ at a minimum, but then again I'm still working on my game, would be interested in hearing others.
Posted almost 5 years ago
Reply to Topic
Reply w/Quote
steinarne
12 posts
Joined 04/2008
forker
988 posts
Joined 05/2008
Sharpy808
116 posts
Joined 06/2008
First let me say that im sorry I jumped the gun on running these numbers on a piece of software that im am very new at using. I will defer to Hypnotic or AMT in the future until I get a firm handle on running these calcs. Never the less stats wer run just straight up, unaltered, raw SnGWiz.
SO these numbers indicate that both plays are profitable, but folding is more profitable?
Profitable in comparison to how it effects your over-all equity. I believe this would be a true statement. I won't elaborate any further on this, as I feel I am not yet qualified to say more without risk of giving you bad information.
GL at the tables
Posted almost 5 years ago
Reply to Topic
Reply w/Quote
HighPockets
358 posts
Joined 06/2008
Without looking at the numbers I would also turbo-muck here. You have 2 players all-in in front of you and one player still to act behind you and *You're on the bubble*. I think I would need KK or AA to call here. Maybe QQ if I thought the two players were loose.
For people looking for numbers/ranges here is an example.
Without knowing anything about any of the players I'm just going to assume both players are pretty tight.
If we say that CO is pushing with 10% (55+, AT+, A8s+), Button is pushing with 6% (88+, AQ+, AJs+) and bb will only call with QQ+, then your Diff% for calling with TT is -2.61 which is a huge loss. With these ranges you could profitably call with QQ+.
You need to open up the ranges quite a bit for calling with TT to be profitable here. E.g. Say that CO is opening with 20% (33+, A4+, A2s+, KQ+, KTs+) and lets say that bb will still only call with QQ+. What does the button need to be pushing with for a TT call to be profitable? Wiz says he needs to call 13% (44+, A9+, A5s+, KJs+) for a TT call to be profitable. So if both CO and button are quite loose and bb is tight you have a situation where calling with TT can be profitable.
Posted almost 5 years ago
Reply to Topic
Reply w/Quote