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18man Bubble, K9s

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Charette

Avatar for Charette

108 posts
Joined 12/2010

Hey guys,

So I figured this was a decent bubble spot to attempt to steal some blinds and antes, but unfortunately BB decides to protect his hand. Villain appeared to be more of a loose passive kind of player and I have been playing fairly aggressive. So anyways I was sad to see BB protect, but I still have a nice hand that plays well post-flop and I'm in position. Flop falls very nice for me giving me TPGK. However, villain leads into me for 1/5 of the pot. Now what is everyone's preferred line here. I really don't like my re-raise in this spot.

Poker Stars No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t100.00/t200.00 Blinds - 5 players - View hand 1829623
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

SB: t3570.00 17.85 BBs - VPIP: 27, PFR: 18, 3B: 7, AF: 2.0, Hands: 44
BB: t4580.00 22.90 BBs - VPIP: 25, PFR: 5, 3B: 0, AF: 2.7, Hands: 44
UTG: t4421.00 22.11 BBs - VPIP: 12, PFR: 6, 3B: 0, AF: 1.0, Hands: 85
Hero (CO): t4064.00 20.32 BBs - VPIP: 20, PFR: 16, 3B: 5, AF: 2.6, Hands: 67246
BTN: t10365.00 51.83 BBs - VPIP: 11, PFR: 11, 3B: 0, AF: 1.0, Hands: 18

Pre Flop: (t300) Hero is CO with 9 Diamond K Diamond
1 fold, Hero raises to t400, 2 folds, BB calls t200

Flop: (t900) 3 Diamond 2 Spade 9 Heart (2 players)
BB bets t200.00, Hero raises to t600, BB calls t400

Turn: (t2100) 6 Diamond (2 players)
BB bets t3555.00, Hero ???

Posted 10 months ago

BaseMetal

Avatar for BaseMetal

2051 posts
Joined 01/2010

I like your play, the preflop I would go a touch over min but min is fine too.
I also like the flop raise, basically ignore the min stab, but I would probably go a touch higher to compensate.
The flop call and the turn shove seem to indicate less chance of a set or stronger (I usually sigh as they show 66). The most likely hands have to be 9x in some way mostly without a diamond draw or just turned a flush draw or very occasionally some other weird played hand like TT-JJ.
As a guide chip ev wise you need about 3555/ 2*4064 = 40% to 45% but it is a strong bubble, $ev is different but you can't give up too much equity I would guess needing 50 to 55% equity for the call and I think you are ahead so I would call.

Posted 10 months ago

arjunt1

Avatar for arjunt1

80 posts
Joined 01/2012

What does he think you are raising flop with? TPTK type hands, you raise preflop so it's not unreasonable for him to put you on an overpair, especially given the action. I think he could have hands like ADiamond3Diamond here as played and I'm definitely calling his shove. Even if he does have a set or something strange like 4Heart 5Heart you still have solid outs.

I personally raise more on that flop, like 800-1000, raising 1/2 pot gives so many hands decent odds to call.

1700 in the pot when you raise to 600, he needs to call 400 so he's getting 4.25:1.

Posted 10 months ago

rrumsey

Avatar for rrumsey

5424 posts
Joined 06/2010

His line kind of looks fishy drawy I think we are crushing him equity wise a lot

Posted 10 months ago




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