Merge Network $1,000 Guaranteed Freezeout No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t25.00/t50.00 Blinds - 9 players - View hand 1776594
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter
SB: t2845.00 56.90 BBs
BB: t2972.00 59.44 BBs
UTG: t10797.00 215.94 BBs
Hero (UTG+1): t4057.00 81.14 BBs
UTG+2: t620.00 12.40 BBs
MP1: t4695.00 93.90 BBs
MP2: t3093.00 61.86 BBs
CO: t3676.00 73.52 BBs
BTN: t3080.00 61.60 BBs
Pre Flop: (t75) Hero is UTG+1 with J J
1 fold, Hero raises to t150.00, 1 fold, MP1 calls t150, 3 folds, SB calls t125, 1 fold
Flop: (t500) 3 9 T (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets t375.00, MP1 raises to t1625.00, SB folds, [color=red]Hero ?
Villain is 50/10 over 30 hands. Postflop he is aggro with draws, and fishy with weak 2ndpair hands and ISD all the way to river. Saw him bet 3 streets with 7-hi flush draw, and bet fairly large on river when missed. He's recently lost a big pot, so good chance he is tilting. I have other reads on him, which I don't have on my notes, but overall - he's a huge fish with wide range. On this hand I think bottom of his range is any draw and Tx, even as low as T2o. I'm at least a 60% favorite vs his range.
Question: In cash game, I jam all day. In tournaments, is it correct to play more conservatively in order to survive? Let's say I know for sure I'm a 60% favorite over his entire range, and I know he will call vs a shove. I'm not sure if ICM considerations and survival should come into play here. Thanks for any advice.