JSTOCK
18 posts
Joined 02/2012
JSTOCK
18 posts
Joined 02/2012
Schweig
1194 posts
Joined 10/2008
snarble5
1685 posts
Joined 07/2010
JSTOCK
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Joined 02/2012
Poker Stars $20+$5+$2 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t500/t1000 Blinds + t125 - 9 players - View hand 1759755
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter
MP1: t52014 M = 19.81
MP2: t27470 M = 10.46
CO: t68359 M = 26.04
BTN: t103694 M = 39.50
SB: t16990 M = 6.47
BB: t70568 M = 26.88
UTG: t126658 M = 48.25
Hero (UTG+1): t69864 M = 26.61
UTG+2: t16224 M = 6.18
Pre Flop: (t2625) Hero is UTG+1 with J
T 
1 fold, Hero raises to t2500, 4 folds, BTN calls t2500, 1 fold, BB calls t1500
Flop: (t9125) 5
7
J
(3 players)
BB bets t6000, Hero raises to t15000, BTN folds, BB raises to t28000, Hero folds
Final Pot: t39125
BB wins t39125
Fold or shove? 3/4 pot donk bet followed by a 3bet looks like a weird two pair, trips, or a monster draw. How funny can the guy really get here? unless he flatted qq+ trying to be funny. Should I have flatted his lead bet on the flop?
When the guy busted in the aforementioned hand, he said he caught with A7. Interesting to chase with almost half your stack and not even have 8 true outs if I happen to be drawing to a flush
Posted about 1 year ago
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BaseMetal
2051 posts
Joined 01/2010
In the 66 hand you only need 21% to make the call chip break even, you haven't given any reads but I could see a range like (TT-66,AcQc,AcJc,A9s,A7s,KcQc,KcJc,K9s,QcJc,JTs) present at the river.
You are beating enough, you have 27% equity and losing the extra 3250 won't hurt you much more. Also the AQc and TT hands would quite likely have raised preflop so can be discounted - I think I have been pretty mean to your hand. There aren't that many flush draws present due to AKs being likely to raise pre and the others are blocked because the medium ranked cards 8, 9 and T
are present. Hands like T9s or AT could easily be present, you are probably well behind but not as low as 21% equity.
edit: I guess I should remove the A9s and K9s hands, not likely to bet the river, although re-adding in the T9 hands would bring the equity back up
Posted about 1 year ago
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Schweig
1194 posts
Joined 10/2008
Top_Chesney
13 posts
Joined 04/2012
Is pre a clear open?
most definitely
Any hand worse than a set is very unlikely to bet this 4 straight, 3 flush river in a tournament, even T9.
seriously? I can think several worse hands might bet for value + hand combos that have no showdown value and have little choice but to fire here. By checking it to him on the river here, we're maximizing his bluffing frequency, and this check OTR looks incredibly weak to me given the action/board texture...I sometimes use a similar line in spots where I'm looking to induce bluffs. Not saying that we're always good here, but we really ought to be throwing out some sort of blocking bet here if we aren't prepared to check/call river.
Posted about 1 year ago
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rrumsey
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Top_Chesney
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Joined 04/2012
rrumsey
5422 posts
Joined 06/2010
Top_Chesney
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Joined 04/2012
JSTOCK
18 posts
Joined 02/2012
Not saying that we're always good here, but we really ought to be throwing out some sort of blocking bet here if we aren't prepared to check/call river
I'm a fan of blocking bets, but what kind of blocking bet can you throw here? He has roughly half his stack in an 8545 pot. Odds for a check call with bottom set are already favorable as BaseMetal has shown. Committing even more chips on a blocking bet with so few chips behind practically demands a weak river call when he shoves.
Posted about 1 year ago
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Top_Chesney
13 posts
Joined 04/2012
I'm a fan of blocking bets, but what kind of blocking bet can you throw here? He has roughly half his stack in an 8545 pot. Odds for a check call with bottom set are already favorable as BaseMetal has shown. Committing even more chips on a blocking bet with so few chips behind practically demands a weak river call when he shoves.
Yah.. I can't get this HH to jive with my re player atm.. Didn't realize how little was left behind OTR. Try to consider these potential situation on earlier streets. I would have bet smaller OTF and smaller OTT, looking to set up a pot size shove or call. Def don't need to bet so much OTT man, like 1600-1775(i'm guessing because im too lazy to re instal my replayer now).
Set your plan up on the flop... it doesn't always pan out plans are aborted.. but i dunno what to do on this river, I rarely get myself stuck in such spots. Avoiding stack size dilemmas in these spots is def one of my strongest skills at the table.
Posted about 1 year ago
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